KC Is The Square Side

[KVB]

I took KC +2 (-101) and KC +119 here.

I picked this up earlier in the week and thought I was getting a small edge by game time, but today's pressure negated that.

 

[KVB]

I think the line is right at 2 but there's every chance the people who originally nibbled at Chiefs +1.5 nibble again at +2 just before kickoff and the line moves closer to 1.5.

Did you see how quick those 2.5s got snatched up?

The bookmakers are in a great position here as they can create action instead of just responding too it. They can move a line or even price to generate hefty action because of the game and tightness of the line. They are forcing everyone to gamble, with edges ever so slight.

The volume is huuuuuuuuge and so much of it on 2.

Would be a sick push.

 

[easy_street]

Yea... A couple of bookies I know keep saying they need 9rs and under

 

[KVB]

Yea... A couple of bookies I know keep saying they need 9rs and under

I wonder if that means more to him on the spread than the moneyline.

There's more on the Niner moneyline at some levels than people may realize.

 

[easy_street]

I wonder if that means more to him on the spread than the moneyline.

There's more on the Niner moneyline at some levels than people may realize.

That's a good point KVB not sure. Not going to ask but one did say that -2 SF and under 48 would be the best outcome

 

[KVB]

Did you see how quick those 2.5s got snatched up?

The bookmakers are in a great position here as they can create action instead of just responding too it. They can move a line or even price to generate hefty action because of the game and tightness of the line. They are forcing everyone to gamble, with edges ever so slight.

The volume is huuuuuuuuge and so much of it on 2.

Would be a sick push.

Seeing 1.5 and 2.5s out there. US showing 1.5 at DK and FD and even Caesaer's in NJ while pinny deals the 2.5.

Market just generating volume here.

 

[rolandcorts]

SF/Under the obvious play but it's a coin flip anyuways

 

[vyomguy]

You had to jinx it didn't you bald fuk

 

[castelion]

Did you see how quick those 2.5s got snatched up?

The bookmakers are in a great position here as they can create action instead of just responding too it. They can move a line or even price to generate hefty action because of the game and tightness of the line. They are forcing everyone to gamble, with edges ever so slight.

The volume is huuuuuuuuge and so much of it on 2.

Would be a sick push.

I'm seeing Pinnacle at -2.5 49ers -104 Chiefs -106. Personally I think the line should be -2 49ers -103 Chiefs -107, so i'm a little surprised. A 1.5 -116 -104 line normally switches to -2 -110 -110 so it's a very small window. On a game like this I wouldn't want that Push option. I'd rather lay the lopsided line. That books don't suggests they want Chiefs money and don't want 49ers money - and they prefer it even if they end up with a Push. Most of the preseason money would have been on the Eagles and Chiefs, but the 49ers were 3rd favourites. There is a slight element of using the line to even up any lopsided preseason liabilities but this isn't a match-up that would suggest lopsided liabilities. I'd be expecting the public to bet the Chiefs.

However, NFL lines historically have been much more efficient at kickoff than they are 2 or 3 days before kickoff. I'm a bit wary when my line predictions are off. At 2.5 I definitely like the Chiefs.

I never bet US Over/Unders because I figure everyone else has better information than me. I'm always going to see game conditions and injuries later than everyone because i'm not in the US. I would have taken the mid-week Over 47.5. Not my market strength. The defenses are good but I think the offenses are better.

Good luck to you and everyone else with their bets.

 

[KingKolzig]

Yea... A couple of bookies I know keep saying they need 9rs and under

Right on track

 

[KingKolzig]

10-3 half

 

[flyingillini]

JJ and Landers famous line " There are two halves in football" They are licking their chops now.

 

[KVB]

JJ and Landers famous line " There are two halves in football" They are licking their chops now.

WTF?

That's one of my lines.

"There are two halves to every game and two halves to every half."

--KVB

 

[flyingillini]

WTF?

That's one of my lines.

"There are two halves to every game and two halves to every half."

--KVB

They both have trademarked it and refuse to give you any credit, it is theirs.

 

[flyingillini]

It is like the word "tremendous" any poster ever using that word needs to pay homage to Landers, he created that word in forumville and it must be respected and give him the credit.

 

[KVB]

It is like the word "tremendous" any poster ever using that word needs to pay homage to Landers, he created that word in forumville and it must be respected and give him the credit.

Ok, fair enough.

I thought, when I often say "Treeeeeeemendous!" that I was actually paying homage to @jjgold not @Brock Landers

Oh but now I know alright.

I fukkin know.

 

[flyingillini]

If SF comes out and ties the game up, we got a game, if they get stopped, the 49ers pull away. God Bless to all and congrats to the winners.

 

[rolandcorts]

Brock live betting SF so he can lose the 2nd half as well as the game.

 

[flyingillini]

Brock live betting SF so he can lose the 2nd half as well as the game.

Landers has a "tremendous" play coming up this weekend in college hoops.

 

[KVB]

If SF comes out and ties the game up, we got a game, if they get stopped, the 49ers pull away. God Bless to all and congrats to the winners.