JR's 2023-2024 NBA plays

[Wagerallsports]

Nice call jr

 

[Jrgum3]

4/20
New York Knicks -4.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u
LA Lakers/Denver o226 -110 1.1u to win 1u

I have two plays on the games later on today. First up I went with the Knicks at home against the Sixers. I do think the Sixers win this series and if they're going to do that they have to win one of these first two games in the Garden. I just don't think it'll be today as I expect a well rested Knicks team to come out with a sense of urgency in front of a jacked Garden crowd and take care of business here en route to covering the spread. They finally get Mitchell Robinson back and I think that's big because I think he'll be able to slow down Embiid down somewhat here. Also I didn't like the way the Sixers played the other night so I look for the Knicks to get a comfortable win here.

My next play is on the over 226 in the Lakers/Denver game. I debated laying the points here with Denver because I think they come out here wanting to send a message to the Lakers that its going to be an uphill battle for them and win easily here tonight. I just went with the over because I expect this to be a higher paced game with Denver looking to wear out the Lakers and take advantage of that altitude tiring out the Lakers. This will lead to more possessions and hopefully for me more points scored by both teams.

 

[Jrgum3]

1-1 night as the Knicks cover with a late push against the Sixers but the Nuggets and Lakers don't go over 226. We'll see what tomorrow brings as we have four more games and I'll try to find some more winners.

Playoff record: 4-3 +0.25 Units

 

[Jrgum3]

4/21/24
Dallas Mavericks ML -145 1.45u to win 1u
Indiana Pacers PK -110 1.1u to win 1u

Two plays for me on today's playoff action and it starts with Dallas to win the game against the Clippers today. I don't like the way the Clippers finished the season as they stumbled down the stretch after looking like arguably the best team in the West earlier on in the season. Throw in the fact that Kawhi is questionable and I think Dallas will be able to start the series with a win. Dallas is healthy and I like how Luka and Kyrie are playing together so I expect Dallas to take care of business today and win against the Clippers.

Next up I took the Pacers to beat the Milwaukee Bucks without Giannis available. I think without Giannis Milwaukee is in trouble against Indiana and their high octane offense. The Pacers were successful against Milwaukee this season and I look for that to continue today with Giannis not in the lineup and Damian Lillard less than 100%.

 

[Jrgum3]

0-2 night as Dallas struggled against the Clippers and the Clippers responded without Kawhi with most of their other stars playing well in his absence. Similarly Damian Lillard made sure the Bucks didn't need Giannis with his playoff career high for a half tonight with 35 in the 1st half. The game was so out of hand he didn't need to score in the 2nd half for the Bucks to win. On to the next as I try to bounce back tomorrow on a 3 game Monday slate.

Playoff record: 4-5 -2.30 Units

 

[Jrgum3]

4/22/24
Philadelphia 76ers +6 -110 1.1u to win 1u
Denver Nuggets 1Q -2 -115 1.15u to win 1u

My first play tonight is on the Sixers to cover against the Knicks. I'm not sure they can win this game with Embiid banged up and Maxey battling an illness but I think this is too many points. I don't think the Knicks will shoot as well as they did in the first game and I think Philadelphia will do a better job on the boards where they got killed in game 1. These two factors are why I think the Sixers at least cover tonight and are live for a win. I just didn't take the ML because of the uncertainty surrounding Embiid and Maxey's health.

My next play is on the Denver Nuggets to cover the first quarter spread against the Lakers tonight. The Lakers started strong in game 1 but faded late as the Nuggets covered the full game line in game 1. I think the opposite happens in game 2 where I expect the Nuggets to jump out to an early lead and control the game from there. I thought about taking the full game spread and while I do think the Nuggets cover again in game two I went with the 1Q angle because I think it might be the better look from a betting standpoint because I don't think the Nuggets will start slow again at home after knocking some of the rust off in game 1.

 

[BMR Genie]

4/22/24
Philadelphia 76ers +6 -110 1.1u to win 1u
Denver Nuggets 1Q -2 -115 1.15u to win 1u

My first play tonight is on the Sixers to cover against the Knicks. I'm not sure they can win this game with Embiid banged up and Maxey battling an illness but I think this is too many points. I don't think the Knicks will shoot as well as they did in the first game and I think Philadelphia will do a better job on the boards where they got killed in game 1. These two factors are why I think the Sixers at least cover tonight and are live for a win. I just didn't take the ML because of the uncertainty surrounding Embiid and Maxey's health.

My next play is on the Denver Nuggets to cover the first quarter spread against the Lakers tonight. The Lakers started strong in game 1 but faded late as the Nuggets covered the full game line in game 1. I think the opposite happens in game 2 where I expect the Nuggets to jump out to an early lead and control the game from there. I thought about taking the full game spread and while I do think the Nuggets cover again in game two I went with the 1Q angle because I think it might be the better look from a betting standpoint because I don't think the Nuggets will start slow again at home after knocking some of the rust off in game 1.

I watched the 1st game only after 2Q and they we're all got a lot of ties. Hopefully, the Nuggets will waste no time, Jr.

Good luck today.

 

[Jrgum3]

1-1 today as Philly covered but still somehow lost the game late. I know it's only 0-2 and Philly hasn't lost at home yet but I'm not as confident in them to win this series after they dropped this one. Still a long way to go but the Sixers need to win both of the next two games at home imo to take this series. My other play on the Nuggets didn't cash as the Lakers made a strong showing tonight even though they eventually lost at the buzzer. I think this can either cause the Lakers to be discouraged enough to drop a game at home or it can cause them to feel confident going back home since they were up 20 on the defending champs and outplayed them for most of the game. We'll see what happens in game 3 but I'm definitely interested in seeing how LA responds at home.

Playoff record: 5-6 -2.45 Units

 

[BMR Genie]

1-1 today as Philly covered but still somehow lost the game late. I know it's only 0-2 and Philly hasn't lost at home yet but I'm not as confident in them to win this series after they dropped this one. Still a long way to go but the Sixers need to win both of the next two games at home imo to take this series. My other play on the Nuggets didn't cash as the Lakers made a strong showing tonight even though they eventually lost at the buzzer. I think this can either cause the Lakers to be discouraged enough to drop a game at home or it can cause them to feel confident going back home since they were up 20 on the defending champs and outplayed them for most of the game. We'll see what happens in game 3 but I'm definitely interested in seeing how LA responds at home.

Playoff record: 5-6 -2.45 Units

Lebron is not happy with the replay officials after that buzzer-beater loss. This is going to be interesting at home for the Lakers.

 

[Jrgum3]

4/23/24
Phoenix Suns +3 -110 1.1u to win 1u
Dallas Mavericks -2.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u

Tonight I have two plays and both are banking on the zig zag theory taking full effect in their respective game 2's. I took Phoenix because I don't think they can play much worse than they did in game 1 and I expect them to come out today and play a whole lot better. Their shooting has nowhere to go but up as they were terrible around the basket and I don't anticipate that continuing here in game 2. Also Minnesota is due to shoot a little worse especially since they were making a lot of contested shots in game 1. You can sprinkle on the ML in this one at plus money but in this case I took the insurance of three points here.

As for Dallas I think they also can play a lot better in game 2 and more guys than just Kyrie and Luka get involved tonight helping Dallas get even in this series. The Clippers were fantastic in game 1 but I'm skeptical whether that is sustainable especially since I don't think James Harden can play the way he did in game 1 again. If he does then I'll probably lose this bet and Dallas will lose again but I don't see that happening and I think Dallas ties it up heading back home.

 

[BMR Genie]

4/23/24
Phoenix Suns +3 -110 1.1u to win 1u
Dallas Mavericks -2.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u

Tonight I have two plays and both are banking on the zig zag theory taking full effect in their respective game 2's. I took Phoenix because I don't think they can play much worse than they did in game 1 and I expect them to come out today and play a whole lot better. Their shooting has nowhere to go but up as they were terrible around the basket and I don't anticipate that continuing here in game 2. Also Minnesota is due to shoot a little worse especially since they were making a lot of contested shots in game 1. You can sprinkle on the ML in this one at plus money but in this case I took the insurance of three points here.

As for Dallas I think they also can play a lot better in game 2 and more guys than just Kyrie and Luka get involved tonight helping Dallas get even in this series. The Clippers were fantastic in game 1 but I'm skeptical whether that is sustainable especially since I don't think James Harden can play the way he did in game 1 again. If he does then I'll probably lose this bet and Dallas will lose again but I don't see that happening and I think Dallas ties it up heading back home.

Good luck today, JR.

 

[krit]

4/23/24
Phoenix Suns +3 -110 1.1u to win 1u
Dallas Mavericks -2.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u

Tonight I have two plays and both are banking on the zig zag theory taking full effect in their respective game 2's. I took Phoenix because I don't think they can play much worse than they did in game 1 and I expect them to come out today and play a whole lot better. Their shooting has nowhere to go but up as they were terrible around the basket and I don't anticipate that continuing here in game 2. Also Minnesota is due to shoot a little worse especially since they were making a lot of contested shots in game 1. You can sprinkle on the ML in this one at plus money but in this case I took the insurance of three points here.

As for Dallas I think they also can play a lot better in game 2 and more guys than just Kyrie and Luka get involved tonight helping Dallas get even in this series. The Clippers were fantastic in game 1 but I'm skeptical whether that is sustainable especially since I don't think James Harden can play the way he did in game 1 again. If he does then I'll probably lose this bet and Dallas will lose again but I don't see that happening and I think Dallas ties it up heading back home.

Good luck, I'm trying to get a read on both of these series. Both Phx and Dallas are very soft and they are playing two much better defensive teams. But both are more than capable of bouncing back. I do agree both these series should be long, but my worry is rather than zigzag'ing each game, it goes 2-0 then 2-2. I'm still undecided, but best of luck.

 

[Jrgum3]

Good luck, I'm trying to get a read on both of these series. Both Phx and Dallas are very soft and they are playing two much better defensive teams. But both are more than capable of bouncing back. I do agree both these series should be long, but my worry is rather than zigzag'ing each game, it goes 2-0 then 2-2. I'm still undecided, but best of luck.

Thanks I think these series will both be long series but I agree it could be that the home team wins every game in this series sort of like the Sixers/Knicks series in the East. I don't really like this Phoenix team but I do think they can give Minnesota a run for their money. Ultimately though I think Minnesota's defense is the reason they win this series but tonight I think Phoenix can bounce back.

 

[Jrgum3]

1-1 yesterday as Phoenix couldn't sustain their lead in the first half and eventually went on to lose the game against Minnesota who has looked like the better team through two games but we'll see what happens when the series shifts to Phoenix. Then Dallas managed to squeak by the Clippers and cover in a huge game for them as now it's 1-1 heading back to Dallas so the Mavs are in great shape. I'll be back later with some plays on today's games.

Playoff record: 6-7 -2.55 Units

 

[Jrgum3]

4/24/24
New Orleans Pelicans +7.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u

Only one play for me on tonights 2 game card since I didn't really like anything in the Boston game other than maybe taking a shot at the over 204 since I feel that number is too low but not enough to bet it. Anyway my offiical play tonight is on the Pelicans to once again cover the spread against the Thunder. I think this is a spot where the Pelicans really match up well with the Thunder and by all means could have stolen game 1. They pose matchup problems for the Thunder on the interior and they have guys on the perimeter that can really score the ball so I'm taking them here to once again keep this one close at the very least. I can see them winning but I do think that the Thunder play a little bit better than game one so that's why I'm just taking the points because I see another close game between these two teams and 7.5 is too much for the Thunder to be laying here I think.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Lebron is not happy with the replay officials after that buzzer-beater loss. This is going to be interesting at home for the Lakers.

Not sure when that guy is happy

He always seems miserable lol

 

[Jrgum3]

Well that one got away from us. OKC looked a lot better tonight and it may just be that they needed a game to adjust to the playoffs since it is a new experience for most of the team. They took it to the Pelicans and this one is headed back to New Orleans 2-0 in favor of OKC. On to the next one as all I can do is pick myself up tomorrow.

Playoff record: 6-8 -3.65 Units

 

[Jrgum3]

4/25/24
Orlando Magic -2.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u

Just one play for me on today's three game card because I didn't really like the line my book was offering in the Philly game as well as the Lakers game. I like Philly tonight but I didn't want to lay 6 with them even though I think they win tonight and probably win comfortably enough at home to cover the spread. I think the Lakers may win the first half again against the Nuggets before fading in the second half. I think that Denver might be the play but I didn't bet it because it's possible a desperate Lakers team puts together 4 quarters against the Nuggets and wins the game.

Anyway my official play tonight is Orlando to climb back into the series at home tonight against the Cavs. I don't expect them to shoot it as poorly as they did in games 1 and 2 against the Cavs plus the Magic have been a very good home team all year long going 29-12 straight up. I think they play with a sense of urgency down 0-2 and cover the spread at home here against the Cavs.

 

[BMR Genie]

4/25/24
Orlando Magic -2.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u

Just one play for me on today's three game card because I didn't really like the line my book was offering in the Philly game as well as the Lakers game. I like Philly tonight but I didn't want to lay 6 with them even though I think they win tonight and probably win comfortably enough at home to cover the spread. I think the Lakers may win the first half again against the Nuggets before fading in the second half. I think that Denver might be the play but I didn't bet it because it's possible a desperate Lakers team puts together 4 quarters against the Nuggets and wins the game.

Anyway my official play tonight is Orlando to climb back into the series at home tonight against the Cavs. I don't expect them to shoot it as poorly as they did in games 1 and 2 against the Cavs plus the Magic have been a very good home team all year long going 29-12 straight up. I think they play with a sense of urgency down 0-2 and cover the spread at home here against the Cavs.

Why did Philly's line go up to -6 now? I'm seeing only the -3.5 opening line.

 

[Jrgum3]

Why did Philly's line go up to -6 now? I'm seeing only the -3.5 opening line.

Can't really say for sure but I think public money has driven this spread up. We'll see what happens but I didn't like it at 6 so I stayed off it.