If Tyson was in shape for his strategy, there is no way it is -500. That was the thing. You just don't know what Tyson is bringing to the table. He definitely could have won the fight with elite training but he did not have elite training. If he had run, it was 50-50. Paul was just good enough to keep him at a distance. Tyson fought like George Foreman but Foreman could go the distance.