It seems like everyone on Houston tonite +3

[KVB]

Might be triggering a KVB NBA Contrarian play on Toronto here.

Looking at the same for SDSU against Nevada.

These lines have moved too much, or very close to too much.

Already took Toronto -1.5 (-105) for the NBA Contrarian Fund.

Now the KVB NCAAB Contrarian Fund has picked up SDSU +3 (-105).

Let's see how things pan out.

 

[KVB]

Folks laying for the -2.5 at the close, ck.

They were laying for the SDSU +3 but it's pretty dead on. Might be at the market for that one, something many know is ok with Contrarian Fund plays, but getting the market edge is always a bonus. Not to mention, if I'm part of group stopping the rise in the market, then I'm more like at on the no vig line, as it would be sharp leading, instead of the market implied no vig line.

But hey, it's Friday night before the Super Bowl, that already bodes well for some Contrarian markets.

Tomorrow will likely be one of my, if not the, biggest betting days of the entire year. The Saturday before the SuperBowl.

A lot of public money will be overflowing in the markets this weekend and as usual I intend to take advantage. We should see inefficiency abound tomorrow.

 

[KVB]

They were laying for the SDSU +3 but it's pretty dead on. Might be at the market for that one, something many know is ok with Contrarian Fund plays, but getting the market edge is always a bonus. Not to mention, if I'm part of group stopping the rise in the market, then I'm more like at on the no vig line, as it would be sharp leading, instead of the market implied no vig line.

Honestly, this for a number of posters and I can't tag them all but I'll try, @JDS @pete0 @613tunit @billybobcoverz @purplegrape @k310 and anyone else.

I know there's a lot of grab ass here at BMR but I want to be better, and a big thanks to @carolinakid for starting this thread and getting me involved.

I always like to use examples and this thread developed into examples of many things, but if we talk about leading and lagging sharp vs. public movement, getting edges over the market, this thread showed some examples already, whether plays win or lose.

Remember, what's the TRUE no vig line? Not just the one the market implies. This is where we find out edges. This is where @jjgold can suck it when he says it's all the same out there. Because things move and when they do, it's best to have your outs and to Know Your Markets...

 

[KVB]

Folks laying for the -2.5 at the close, ck.

They were laying for the SDSU +3 but it's pretty dead on. Might be at the market for that one, something many know is ok with Contrarian Fund plays, but getting the market edge is always a bonus. Not to mention, if I'm part of group stopping the rise in the market, then I'm more like at on the no vig line, as it would be sharp leading, instead of the market implied no vig line.

Well how about that.

Pinny never went to three, CIRCA and BOL, among others dropped to +2.5. Everyone else dead on 3.

I think it's safe to say we squeezed an edge out of market in both plays tonight.

Contrarian plays on the Friday before the superbowl with an edge over the market, at least something, some margin.

Can't ask for much more than that.

Now the teams need to do their fukkin jobs.

(could you imaging @Tanko 's NCAAB capping skills combined with my trading skills? Would be sick as fukk.)

 

[JDS]

Already took Toronto -1.5 (-105) for the NBA Contrarian Fund.

Now the KVB NCAAB Contrarian Fund has picked up SDSU +3 (-105).

Let's see how things pan out.

Good luck man hope they do their fuckin’ jobs.

 

[jjgold]

Nevada very good at home
tight battle right now

 

[KVB]

Nevada very good at home
tight battle right now

3 point game at half, right at the line.

SDSU the ranked team. Looks like Nevada going to be a small, 1 point favorite 2nd half.

I don't really like those two facts.

Toronto showed up so far.

 

[quantumleap]

That was a f'd up ending on the SDSU game. No one commented?

 

[KVB]

That was a f'd up ending on the SDSU game. No one commented?

When Nevada missed the free throw to go up 61-60, keeping it tied and sendign the game to OT, I just knew SDSU +3 was dead.

I didn't watch any OT and saw SDSU lost by 4, 70-66.

 

[quantumleap]

When Nevada missed the free throw to go up 61-60, keeping it tied and sendign the game to OT, I just knew SDSU +3 was dead.

I didn't watch any OT and saw SDSU lost by 4, 70-66.

I didn't watch the end but the Play-by-Play said Nevada shot 2 FTs with no time left. Dude made both of them to go from up by 2 to winning by 4.

Coleman’s short jumper with 12 seconds left gave Nevada a 68-66 lead. Blackshear added two free throws in the final second after SDSU’s Darrion Trammell missed a 3-point attempt.

 

[KVB]

I didn't watch the end but the Play-by-Play said Nevada shot 2 FTs with no time left. Dude made both of them to go from up by 2 to winning by 4.

Coleman’s short jumper with 12 seconds left gave Nevada a 68-66 lead. Blackshear added two free throws in the final second after SDSU’s Darrion Trammell missed a 3-point attempt.

Yeah, I saw a highlight after you posted. Looks like SDSU had a hail mary toss as the buzzer expired so I'm thinking those last two free throws were inside 1 second.

Fukkers.

 

[KVB]

I didn't watch the end but the Play-by-Play said Nevada shot 2 FTs with no time left. Dude made both of them to go from up by 2 to winning by 4.

Coleman’s short jumper with 12 seconds left gave Nevada a 68-66 lead. Blackshear added two free throws in the final second after SDSU’s Darrion Trammell missed a 3-point attempt.

They put .3 seconds BACK ON the clock to give Nevada 2 free throws when up 68-66.

Blackshear was 4 of 10 from the line all game and nailed both to go up 70-66.

SVP on sportscenter showed this game as a bad beat with SDSU +3.5.

In my eyehole!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[KVB]

So yeah, our side got taken Friday night with the ranked hoops team failing on the road, but we got our revenge the following night with Arizona over Colorado.

That saga played out in @charliebrown 's Get even with Arizona moneyline thread. An easy winner on Saturday night and some LIVE action to boot.

And the give and take continues.