Ok, I want to show something here. Stick with me, I think it'll be worth it. This probably deserves a thread.
This Houston/Kansas game had a lot of volume. As I showed in the game thread, my Kansas moneyline of .43 cents is equal to a +133 moneyline.
Now, I put that order in the night before, picking the number I wanted to get by offering to sell the opposite at a price different than the market price. I decided, last night, that I liked +133 at minimum, on this game, and the little commission means a limit order is in due, lol. That, to me, meant some EV and the poor guy who took my trade ends up with -EV, as far as I see it.
I felt Houston could get bought up and so I was prepared to lose ground to the market, Circa, Pinny, etc were offering +105 this morning. Kansas got hit. I was already up.
But eventually, as expected, the Houston money came. Did I beat the closer? Well, Circa dealt a No vig line -/+ 133.16 while Pinny wasn't far off of -/+133, DK at 133.6, etc.
The night before, I chose +133 as my line. While the markets were offering +125 at the close, so I beat it, the closing no vig line is the same as my line.
Now, watch the short part at 45:15 in the video below. I also talk about it at the end of Knowing Your Markets at 32:45, also linked below.
Sharp.

