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Homie - Week 4 NFL Plays

homie1975

homie1975

Joined
Oct 6, 2022
Messages
1,342
5-3 ATS last week.

12-10-1 overall ATS on NFL this season. 54.5%.

STEELERS -1.5 @Colts (Pittsburgh on a mission this year. Colts still trying to find their footing)
@TEXANS -6 vs Jags (not going to overthink this one. Texans get-healthy game and Jax is hot trash)
EAGLES -1.5 @Buccaneers (Philly revenge game for last January playoff loss in same venue)
@PANTHERS +4.5 vs Bengals (the Red Rifle exacts some revenge against his employer from yesteryear)
@CHARGERS +7 vs Chiefs (Strange things happen at Sofi)
@RAVENS -2.5 vs Bills (I think Balt found themselves down in Dallas last week and now they return home to avenge Jan playoff loss against same team at home)

@LIONS -3.5 vs Seahawks (Detroit on MNF under the lights on national TV gets it done)
 

homie1975

homie1975

Joined
Oct 6, 2022
Messages
1,342
Love your card, with one exception:
I wouldn't bet Lions with your money. Seattle +4.5 for me here.
thanks man but the line for that game is 3.5 across the board.

4.5 is a la-la land line unless you bought up to that for 20-25 cents juice?

-110 it does not exist, not even -115

the line is 3.5 which is obviously a huge difference due to how often games end on margins of 4.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
55,411
I guess the way you phrased it, “Jan playoff loss”

Threw me off
Are you a believer in Josh Allen this year. Has he turned the page for you ? For me it’s staring to happen.
 

thefix

thefix

Joined
Feb 17, 2023
Messages
590
Some good matchups in week 4

Who would have thought Pittsburgh could open the season 4-0
Who have they played? Falcons running with a new qb that barely got any reps with the offense, Broncos who have almost no talent at all on offense and a rookie qb, and the Chargers who also have minimal talent at wr and had a busted up qb going into the game. Basically teams they can suffocate defensively and win by not turning the ball over 4 times. Now they get another layup against a Colts d that can't stop anything and a qb that can't generate offense through the air yet besides the occasional bomb. Steelers will always be good thanks to their build on defense. They just need to take care of the ball and wear down these low scoring opponents, as they have.
 

homie1975

homie1975

Joined
Oct 6, 2022
Messages
1,342
Who have they played? Falcons running with a new qb that barely got any reps with the offense, Broncos who have almost no talent at all on offense and a rookie qb, and the Chargers who also have minimal talent at wr and had a busted up qb going into the game. Basically teams they can suffocate defensively and win by not turning the ball over 4 times. Now they get another layup against a Colts d that can't stop anything and a qb that can't generate offense through the air yet besides the occasional bomb. Steelers will always be good thanks to their build on defense. They just need to take care of the ball and wear down these low scoring opponents, as they have.
this is the nfl bud.
every team is solid, even the back ups are solid.

bet against a 3-0 opponent at your own risk.

i will take the consistency of the steelers and the D any day of the week against young but talented AR who is only 22yo and has a ton to learn.
 

BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
41,637
5-3 ATS last week.

12-10-1 overall ATS on NFL this season. 54.5%.

STEELERS -1.5 @Colts (Pittsburgh on a mission this year. Colts still trying to find their footing)
@TEXANS -6 vs Jags (not going to overthink this one. Texans get-healthy game and Jax is hot trash)
EAGLES -1.5 @Buccaneers (Philly revenge game for last January playoff loss in same venue)
@PANTHERS +4.5 vs Bengals (the Red Rifle exacts some revenge against his employer from yesteryear)
@CHARGERS +7 vs Chiefs (Strange things happen at Sofi)
@RAVENS -2.5 vs Bills (I think Balt found themselves down in Dallas last week and now they return home to avenge Jan playoff loss against same team at home)

@LIONS -3.5 vs Seahawks (Detroit on MNF under the lights on national TV gets it done)
Good luck tomorrow, Homie! :cheers:
 

homie1975

homie1975

Joined
Oct 6, 2022
Messages
1,342
Who have they played? Falcons running with a new qb that barely got any reps with the offense, Broncos who have almost no talent at all on offense and a rookie qb, and the Chargers who also have minimal talent at wr and had a busted up qb going into the game. Basically teams they can suffocate defensively and win by not turning the ball over 4 times. Now they get another layup against a Colts d that can't stop anything and a qb that can't generate offense through the air yet besides the occasional bomb. Steelers will always be good thanks to their build on defense. They just need to take care of the ball and wear down these low scoring opponents, as they have.
good call FIXer
 
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