351 Liberty 13.5
This team will surprise Arkansas. Both teams run the ball well but Liberty's rush-D is better and will slow down the razorbacks. Liberty's passing offense is about 50% of their game and fortunately, Arkansas pass-D is horrible (126th/131) so theywill be able to pass and open up their run game.
The same cannot be said for Arkansas. Liberty's pass-D is stout (27th/131) so if Liberty focuses on shutting down the hogs running game, they will wi.
337 James Madison 7.5
Louisville's strenth is the run game (25th/131). JMU run-D is the best in the country (#1) holding teams to 63 ypg. I realize JMU's competition may not be up to Louisville's but, Louisville isn't that great this year. The 2nd aspect of this game that I really like for JMU is that they pass for almost 300 ypg (18th). Louisville is just average at pass-D.
