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***G-Man's BOWL GAMES***

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G-Man!

G-Man!

Joined
Oct 27, 2023
Messages
675
Saturday-Tuesday Bowls and Navy game.
2-0-P +1200.00


Had write ups for both games today but somehow they vanished...


5:30PM
WKY +7.5 over James Madison. 5 units
WKY should win this game.
JM played only 2 winning record teams all year. WKY is 8-5!

9PM
Cal +3.5 over UNLV. 3 units
I dont like the line here,
It should be much higher with Mendoza out?

All my trust is in the improved Cal defense and just enough offense with a backup QB to survive.
 

G-Man!

G-Man!

Joined
Oct 27, 2023
Messages
675
Bowls 2-2-P +320.00
Tough loss by WKY - Three turnovers ..Cant cap TO's.


Thursday.
GA Southern -3.5 over Sam Houston, 4 units

Sam isnt a team that can catchup up if behind vs a winning record team, They only scored over 20 points once in their last six games.

Ga. So played 11 games against better FBS teams and went 7-4 SU.
Georgia Southern had 10 players named to all-Sun Belt Conference teams, including senior linebacker Marques Watson-Trent, the league's defensive player of the year. He finished first in the conference and is eighth in the nation in tackles per game -- 10 -- with 110 tackles in 11 games.

The Eagles have a veteran offensive line led by all-conference honorees Bryson Broadway, Caleb Cook and Pichon Wimbley.
They have helped enable quarterback JC French to throw for 2,619 yards and 16 touchdowns and Jalen White to rush for 654 yards and 12 scores. Derwin Burgess Jr. (53 receptions, three TDs), Dalen Cobb (50 catches, four TDs) and Josh Dallas (41 catches, five TDs) are the top receivers.

FRIDAY
NOON
Ohio -4.5 over J'Ville State. 6 units

Far better defense with Ohio and Ohio also played better teams.
Ohio is the Number 1 defense in the MAC conference and J'Ville State will struggle to put up points.
J'ville was also a negative scoring team (27-28) vs teams that are now bowlers this year. The Bobcats are positive scoring with a solid 30-19 over Bowlers.

3:30PM
Florida -10 (-120) over Tulane. 6 units.

Fla played top ranked high scoring teams with solid defenses. They won the last three SU vs LSU and Ole Miss -both ranked #21 and #9.
Tulane struggled vs teams with good defenses like Oklahoma and Army.
Tulane starting QB transferred to Duke. That will limit first downs and moving the ball.

8PM
Indiana +7 over Notre Dame. 6 units
Hoosiers are by far the best team that Notre Dame has faced all season.
The Notre Dame defense was exposed last week vs USC allowing 557,yards and Indiana will score on them.
The Indiana defense is far superior to what ND true defensive capability is and this should be a big SU win for Indiana in this game.
 

G-Man!

G-Man!

Joined
Oct 27, 2023
Messages
675
Hope you guys bought the half on Clemson...

FWIW - Ohio State has never lost to the SEC at home. (ABC commentators.)
Tennessee has never faced a defense that allowed under 100 yds rushing per game.
Buckeyes defense is ranked #2 overall.
Buckeyes -4 1H. 5 units
 

G-Man!

G-Man!

Joined
Oct 27, 2023
Messages
675
WEEK 2.
Tuesday Dec-24
8PM

South Florida +2.5 over San Jose. 5 units.
The main reason for playing USF, is that they scored on Alabama, Memphis and Tulane.

San Jose wont have star WR Nash, who has opted out.

One other reason is that SJ has gifted opponents with turnovers. Nine (9) in the last 3 games.
If they do that tonight they have no way to catch up.
 

G-Man!

G-Man!

Joined
Oct 27, 2023
Messages
675
WEEK 2.
South Fla +2.5 5 units. Won +500.00 <<Originally posted in week one thread on Tuesday.
Bowls 7-6.+700.00


Thursday
Rutgers +7.5 over KSU. 5 units

KSU played several ranked teams and they have the far better defense.
Rutgers played a few good teams but we're still a PLUS scoring team on the season.
KSU id ranked 38th defensively in the nation on yards per game.
But Rutgers being a Big 10 team getting 7 here is too much.
Losing Star QB to the Portal/NFL draft is a huge loss for Kanasa State. No team that loses an NFL grade Starting QB fares well in games to follow.


Thursday'
Bowling Green -10 over Arky State. 5 units.

BG allowed only 20 pts per game on the season.
Arky doesn't play defense at all as they allowed 32 pts per game and are ranked #132 nationally.
The Falcons will score today -all day.
 

G-Man!

G-Man!

Joined
Oct 27, 2023
Messages
675
FRIDAY BOWL GAMES.
Vanderbilt. +3.5 (-120) over Ga Tech. 6 units
Vandy played 5 top ranked teams, beating Alabama, Losing by 3 at Missouri, Losing by 3 to Texas, by 13 to Tenn and lost 28-7 to So Carolina.

Oklahoma -ML -115 over Navy. 6 units
Sooners played by far the toughest schedule of all. Faced 8 teams with wining records -all bowlers.
Navy faced 2 teams that were ranked . Notre Dame (14-51), Memphis who was not ranked at game time, and Army.

Tex Tech ML -140 over Arkansas . 5 units
Razorbacks have no offense.
They had two high-scoring games with Ark Bluff (70-0) and Miss State 58-25., Once these games are removed, they become less than average in scoring as a poor 23 pt offense.

Syracuse -17.5 over Washington State. 5 units.
Cuse just too good for a pathetic WSU team that played only 3 games all year vs winning teams.

USC +3.5 over TAM. 5 units
One common opponent was Notre Dame. ND was much better in late season games than in week (1) when A&M played them and lost 13-23..
USC rolled up 35 points on ND in the last week of the season.
 

BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
32,335
FRIDAY BOWL GAMES.
Vanderbilt. +3.5 (-120) over Ga Tech. 6 units
Vandy played 5 top ranked teams, beating Alabama, Losing by 3 at Missouri, Losing by 3 to Texas, by 13 to Tenn and lost 28-7 to So Carolina.

Oklahoma -ML -115 over Navy. 6 units
Sooners played by far the toughest schedule of all. Faced 8 teams with wining records -all bowlers.
Navy faced 2 teams that were ranked . Notre Dame (14-51), Memphis who was not ranked at game time, and Army.

Tex Tech ML -140 over Arkansas . 5 units
Razorbacks have no offense.
They had two high-scoring games with Ark Bluff (70-0) and Miss State 58-25., Once these games are removed, they become less than average in scoring as a poor 23 pt offense.

Syracuse -17.5 over Washington State. 5 units.
Cuse just too good for a pathetic WSU team that played only 3 games all year vs winning teams.

USC +3.5 over TAM. 5 units
One common opponent was Notre Dame. ND was much better in late season games than in week (1) when A&M played them and lost 13-23..
USC rolled up 35 points on ND in the last week of the season.
:cheers:
 

G-Man!

G-Man!

Joined
Oct 27, 2023
Messages
675
Saturday

11AM Start!
Conn +2.5 over North Carolina. 10 units

Conn is by far the better run team and run defense.
NC should not be favored with a run defense that is negative and allowing 5.0 yds per carry.
NC played no ranked teams.
Conn gave Syracuse a good game staying within 7 losing 24-31.

12NOON
Nebraska-3.5 over Boston College. 5 units

Nearly a home game for BC as this one in in Yankee Stadium. The BC defense was good all year allowing only 24 pts/game.
Nebraska couldn't score much in the last 6 games on the season except for one game with Wisconsin.
Only reason Nebraskas is the play is because they shut down Ohio State to 21 pts and Iowa to 13 pts.

2:15PM
UL Lafayette +10 over TCU. 4 units

TCU struggled with bowlers allowing 46 pts per game.
They got past Cincinnati in the last game of the season 20-13 but did it on 3 Bearcat turnovers.
TCU wins it but no cover.

3:30
Iowa State +3.5 over Miami 5 units

Open line was ISU -1.
ISU was favored in every game this year except one vs IOWA and they beat Iowa SU.
Hurricanes dropped down in rankings from early in the year.
ISU has the better defense.

4:30
Miami OH / Colorado State. Under 41. 5 units

Both teams scored under 17 points per game vs Bowl teams. The lowest of all bowlers combined in the same game.

5:30
N.C. State -7 over East Carolina . 6 units

NC faced more ranked bowlers.
EC played a tough Navy team but lost and won 4 of the last 5 games on the season.

Back later
 

BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
32,335
Saturday

11AM Start!
Conn +2.5 over North Carolina. 10 units

Conn is by far the better run team and run defense.
NC should not be favored with a run defense that is negative and allowing 5.0 yds per carry.
NC played no ranked teams.
Conn gave Syracuse a good game staying within 7 losing 24-31.

12NOON
Nebraska-3.5 over Boston College. 5 units

Nearly a home game for BC as this one in in Yankee Stadium. The BC defense was good all year allowing only 24 pts/game.
Nebraska couldn't score much in the last 6 games on the season except for one game with Wisconsin.
Only reason Nebraskas is the play is because they shut down Ohio State to 21 pts and Iowa to 13 pts.

2:15PM
UL Lafayette +10 over TCU. 4 units

TCU struggled with bowlers allowing 46 pts per game.
They got past Cincinnati in the last game of the season 20-13 but did it on 3 Bearcat turnovers.
TCU wins it but no cover.

3:30
Iowa State +3.5 over Miami 5 units

Open line was ISU -1.
ISU was favored in every game this year except one vs IOWA and they beat Iowa SU.
Hurricanes dropped down in rankings from early in the year.
ISU has the better defense.

4:30
Miami OH / Colorado State. Under 41. 5 units

Both teams scored under 17 points per game vs Bowl teams. The lowest of all bowlers combined in the same game.

5:30
N.C. State -7 over East Carolina . 6 units

NC faced more ranked bowlers.
EC played a tough Navy team but lost and won 4 of the last 5 games on the season.

Back later
Let's go! :cheers:
 

G-Man!

G-Man!

Joined
Oct 27, 2023
Messages
675
Tuesday
NOON

Michigan+16.5 over Alabama.. 2 units
UNDER 44. 2 units

The Wolverines season record isn't impressive but they won against decent teams to get here. Ohio State, USC and Minnesota.
Mich also held the last 3 opponents to under 300 total yards each. Two were road games.

Bama just became a team that struggled in road games - beating only Wisconsin and LSU, While Losing to Oklahoma, Tennessee and Vanderbilt..

Michigan lost to. Texas, Oregon, Illinois and Indiana.

Michigan was also low scoring in road games putting up 13 @ohio State, 15@Indiana, 7@ Illinois and the season high 17 @ Washington. You read it right! Michigan played only FOUR road games all year!

In three games with Big 10 schools this year, the average win margin with the SEC winning all 3, was 24 points.
Michigan never scored over 15 pts vs any team with a defense that allowed 22 points or less.
If they hold Bama to 26 or less and score at least 14 pts, both the side and total win ATS.
The Portal system has claimed many players from both sides.
That why the units are low on this game.

2PM
Washington+1 Over Louisville. 3 units

Cardinals have no QB or Top WR. . Offense will be completely less productive.
Looking at how Washington played Oregon to the finish the season gives them a chance to score here and play some defense.
Both Louisville and Washington had horrible defenses vs bowlers.. Turnovers decide this one, is my best gusess.


3PM
South Carolina -8.5 over Illinois. 10 units

Up and coming Gamecocks won their last 6 games to finish the season. All 6 wins were dominating as they allowed only one team to score over 20 points!

3:30PM
LSU +3.5 over Baylor. 5 units

The Bears won their last two games on opponent turnovers. Collecting 7 in the two games.
Baylor lost all three games vs ranked teams this year.

LSU played far better teams overall. Nine (9) games were against winning record teams including Ole Miss, S,Carolina and Alabama. LSU went 2-1 vs them.

7:30PM
Penn State -11 over Boise. 6 units

.Massive advantage here for the PSU defense. They held 3 of 4 top ranked bowlers to 20 points or less. Only Oregon scored more. PSU was crushed by Oregon 45-37.
Speaking of Oregon, they also played Boise in week two and Boisie gave them all they could handle in a 37-34 Oregon win.
Big fact is that Boise played only two ranked teams all year - Oregon and UNLV.

PSU will be able to shut down the Boise run game with the nations #6 defense.- far better than what Oregon has.
PSU out gained all bowlers by an average of 106 yds per game.
The Lions scored 34 while allowing only 15 points per game all year.

More Wednesday.
 

G-Man!

G-Man!

Joined
Oct 27, 2023
Messages
675
WEDNESDAY Jan 1st. (Happy New Year!)
1PM
Arizona State +13 over Texas. 10 units
ASU 1H. +7. even. 3 units
ASU UNDER 52 3 units.

ASU has one of the better passing defenses as they have allowed only 16 passing Td's while picking up 15 interceptions.

They are far better vs bowlers than Texas is with pts for and against. They played only 2 ranked Bowlers but won both.
They outscored all bowlers (5) by 7 pts per game.

Texas only out scored the last six bowlers (6) by 4 points per game (23-19). But its important to note that Texas played 10 winning teams.
ASU only played Five winning teams..

In ASU last 4 games they allowed 23pts once and under 19 on the other three.
The defensive passer rating is very good at 117.0, one of the best of all playoff teams.

ASU could win this SU. Lean the ML+390.

5PM
Ohio State ML- 135 over Oregon. 10 units.

Hard to beat the same team twice in the season.
Just ask Alabama a few years ago (2021) when they beat Georgia in the conference championship but got smashed in the National Championship game.
Both times Georgia was favored. Game one was Georgia -6. game two Georgia -3.
Same scenario today.
tOSU was a 3 pt favorite in Oregon and now is a 1 point favorite today.
Ohio State out gained seven (7) bowlers by an average of 145 yds per game.
Oregon out gained Six (6) bowlers by 45 yds per game.

Last fact: The first game the Buckeys out gained Oregon on their home field by 30 yards.
This game is a neutral site game. -Advantage - Ohio State.
After seeing what PSU did to Boise yesterday, its fair to say that the Oregon/Boise game was a bit more revealing about how good Oregon really is or Isn't?


Back for the late game.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
47,464
This guy never responds to anybody, just post his plays and leaves. You gotta question a guy‘s motives when all you do is that. A tout in
the making possibly here.
 
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