Tuesday
NOON
Michigan+16.5 over Alabama.. 2 units
UNDER 44. 2 units
The Wolverines season record isn't impressive but they won against decent teams to get here. Ohio State, USC and Minnesota.
Mich also held the last 3 opponents to under 300 total yards each. Two were road games.
Bama just became a team that struggled in road games - beating only Wisconsin and LSU, While Losing to Oklahoma, Tennessee and Vanderbilt..
Michigan lost to. Texas, Oregon, Illinois and Indiana.
Michigan was also low scoring in road games putting up 13 @ohio State, 15@Indiana, 7@ Illinois and the season high 17 @ Washington. You read it right! Michigan played only FOUR road games all year!
In three games with Big 10 schools this year, the average win margin with the SEC winning all 3, was 24 points.
Michigan never scored over 15 pts vs any team with a defense that allowed 22 points or less.
If they hold Bama to 26 or less and score at least 14 pts, both the side and total win ATS.
The Portal system has claimed many players from both sides.
That why the units are low on this game.
2PM
Washington+1 Over Louisville. 3 units
Cardinals have no QB or Top WR. . Offense will be completely less productive.
Looking at how Washington played Oregon to the finish the season gives them a chance to score here and play some defense.
Both Louisville and Washington had horrible defenses vs bowlers.. Turnovers decide this one, is my best gusess.
3PM
South Carolina -8.5 over Illinois. 10 units
Up and coming Gamecocks won their last 6 games to finish the season. All 6 wins were dominating as they allowed only one team to score over 20 points!
3:30PM
LSU +3.5 over Baylor. 5 units
The Bears won their last two games on opponent turnovers. Collecting 7 in the two games.
Baylor lost all three games vs ranked teams this year.
LSU played far better teams overall. Nine (9) games were against winning record teams including Ole Miss, S,Carolina and Alabama. LSU went 2-1 vs them.
7:30PM
Penn State -11 over Boise. 6 units
.Massive advantage here for the PSU defense. They held 3 of 4 top ranked bowlers to 20 points or less. Only Oregon scored more. PSU was crushed by Oregon 45-37.
Speaking of Oregon, they also played Boise in week two and Boisie gave them all they could handle in a 37-34 Oregon win.
Big fact is that Boise played only two ranked teams all year - Oregon and UNLV.
PSU will be able to shut down the Boise run game with the nations #6 defense.- far better than what Oregon has.
PSU out gained all bowlers by an average of 106 yds per game.
The Lions scored 34 while allowing only 15 points per game all year.
More Wednesday.