Friday July 18-Wed July 31

[piratealew]

You do you.
No need respond or even comment about those fans, haha

Mr Nolan is a piece of cake

nuttin but winnahs Mr P!!

good luck!

In San Diego to watch my brother Shohei
Go Dodgers!

awesome! Love SD, you staying in the gaslamp district or out by the beach. Have fun, enjoy the weather and go Blue.

 

[phantom888]

awesome! Love SD, you staying in the gaslamp district or out by the beach. Have fun, enjoy the weather and go Blue.

Gas lamp area….. such a weird name…..

Dodgers sucking, hopefully can find some relief pitching

 

[piratealew]

Let's keep the wins coming. Was a great weekend, now let's make it a great week.

MLB=13–12 (Cash #1/ 3 of top 5)........19-8 Sat (12-1 Top plays)

MLB=1315-1192 YTD/ (643-599 Top plays) Umpire Overs=138-102 Umpire Under=15-10

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. **Top plays are listed in order of strength.*

️Baltimore-1-129 (Game 1)
️Pirates-139
️Twins+108
️Royals-1-130
️Mariners+115 (Yes-Minus JROD and JP)
️Texas-115 (F5)
️Brewers-119
️Balty/Toronto Over 8.5-120 (Game 1)-Umpire Over Chad Fairchild
️Yankees+130
️Arizona/Washington Over 8.5-120
Murdermore Orioles-1-115 (Game 2)
Arizona-1-110
Cleveland+100
Cubbies-103
Pirates-140 (F5)
Baltimore-0.5-129 (F5)
Texas-110
Twins+101 (F5)
Twins/Mets Over 8-125
Arizona-0.5-110 (F5)
Pirates/Asstros Over 7-130
Cleveland/Detroit UNDER 7.5-125

Will do umpire writeups later...GL to all the MVP's out there and those that wished me well. Lets keep making those pitiful trolls in the trash rubber room angry, poor old losers have to chug some xanax after chugging down the wins this weekend and tallying up their fat L's from being dumb faders like Doc. Follow Doc to bankruptcy, guy is a proven loser. Banned at every forum MULTIPLE times.

also Arizona-0.5 (F5) is now a top play under Arizona Over.

added:
New York/Filthadelphia UNDER 9-115

 

[piratealew]

Gas lamp area….. such a weird name…..

Dodgers sucking, hopefully can find some relief pitching

make sure you get to one of the casino's if you have time. about 20-30 minutes out but sycuan was fun, barona and hard rock is where i went a lot. or up the road in OC is Temecula and Pechanga Resort which is massive.

 

[jjgold]

Pirates, how do you grade your season so far?

 

[piratealew]

Pirates, how do you grade your season so far?

Considering I've paid my $3000 mortgage each month, IRS payments , most medical expenses and most of my living expenses each month betting baseball I'd say it's been a success. Not raking it in like when I was in sales but now I dont have to work and be on a plane 300 days a year closing deals, but if i wanted that lifestyle again I'd come out of retirement today. HA! Who knows what I'll be doing next year, lord willing but been doing this full time since Jan 2023 after the birth of our daughter and wife's illness, i do get restless at times as I do miss some aspects of the travel and consulting so we'll see next year..

 

[piratealew]

looks like Balty is about to start so i wont worry about the analysis of that one but one caught my eye just now. i was on the fence earlier as I had this game projected for 8 runs but then Andy Fletcher was announced....so...

***2nd Umpire Over is Seattle/Boston Over 8-120 with Andy "Rainmaker" Fletcher. As said earlier had this game at 8 runs but now with andy working i added his avg 1.5-2 to get over a little easier and here's why, the man is 17-3 OVER, and a whopping 12.57 runs this year. I've watched his handiwork, pitchers are always mad, hitters get the 50/50 calls 90% of the time. While the pitching isn't the best for a ton of runs, this guy helps offenses find a way to squeeze out an extra few. He has rewarded all of us on his over chain this year. Lets get him to an 18-3 over tonight hopefully.

 

[piratealew]

looks like Balty is about to start so i wont worry about the analysis of that one but one caught my eye just now. i was on the fence earlier as I had this game projected for 8 runs but then Andy Fletcher was announced....so...

***2nd Umpire Over is Seattle/Boston Over 8-120 with Andy "Rainmaker" Fletcher. As said earlier had this game at 8 runs but now with andy working i added his avg 1.5-2 to get over a little easier and here's why, the man is 17-3 OVER, and a whopping 12.57 runs this year. I've watched his handiwork, pitchers are always mad, hitters get the 50/50 calls 90% of the time. While the pitching isn't the best for a ton of runs, this guy helps offenses find a way to squeeze out an extra few. He has rewarded all of us on his over chain this year. Lets get him to an 18-3 over tonight hopefully.

to add on to this about the pitching and why we could get to 8 runs--someone asked me on another board why i liked seattle ML big: Seattle rounding into form to make a post season push and the roster moves have paid off.; there's also a sizeable pitching advantage to Seattle esp in July Gilbert is 1-2 with a 2.7 ERA, and a 1.68 BAA in 5 starts, while Pivetta is 0-2, 4.43 ERA, and .221 BAA in 21 innings (4 starts). He also dominates BOS as he is 0-0, 3.12 in four starts vs Boston. Pivetta's recent form will certainly help the over.

 

[G-Man!]

Alert.

Pitching change.
Briske to start for Detroit . Flattery scratched.
Cle now -160 w Bibee.

Hope he gets traded to Cle.?

 

[piratealew]

Alert.

Pitching change.
Briske to start for Detroit . Flattery scratched.
Cle now -160 w Bibee.

Hope he gets traded to Cle.?

Nice I went action on that one as I figured he might be used in a trade and the zona game as one of wash might offload pitching, and cubs game (same reason). The few days before trade deadline is always wacky.

 

[jjgold]

Considering I've paid my $3000 mortgage each month, IRS payments , most medical expenses and most of my living expenses each month betting baseball I'd say it's been a success. Not raking it in like when I was in sales but now I dont have to work and be on a plane 300 days a year closing deals, but if i wanted that lifestyle again I'd come out of retirement today. HA! Who knows what I'll be doing next year, lord willing but been doing this full time since Jan 2023 after the birth of our daughter and wife's illness, i do get restless at times as I do miss some aspects of the travel and consulting so we'll see next year..

Sales is only good if you’re single and you’re traveling

 

[piratealew]

2 more great Matchups with big over umpires tonight.

***3rd Umpire Over is KC/White Sox Over 9-115 with Bruce Drekman who like Andy Fletcher above is cash cow for overs as he's also a whopping 16-3 OVER on over 12 runs with a 2.5 SO/BB ration and 64% strikes. Helping the over is recent form as White sox are 4-1 Over last 5 and KC is 8-3 Over when Marsh starts, and the white sox pitcher Flexen has been slumping lately as he is 0-4, 6.55 in his last six starts.

***4th Umpire Over is Pirates/Asstros Over 7 with Todd Tichenor-- he's rated at 4.33 in the extreme hitter friendly cat despire some lower numbers this year but still 11-7 Over on just under 9 runs.

 

[piratealew]

Thank you Orioles, god forbid they lose a 7 run lead late, looking like another great start to today, cashed F5 easy, the over easy and should get this -1 for the top play barring a total collapse.

 

[inzane]

Thank you Orioles, god forbid they lose a 7 run lead late, looking like another great start to today, cashed F5 easy, the over easy and should get this -1 for the top play barring a total collapse.

Thank you, Pirate and good luck with the rest of your card!

 

[phantom888]

Considering I've paid my $3000 mortgage each month, IRS payments , most medical expenses and most of my living expenses each month betting baseball I'd say it's been a success. Not raking it in like when I was in sales but now I dont have to work and be on a plane 300 days a year closing deals, but if i wanted that lifestyle again I'd come out of retirement today. HA! Who knows what I'll be doing next year, lord willing but been doing this full time since Jan 2023 after the birth of our daughter and wife's illness, i do get restless at times as I do miss some aspects of the travel and consulting so we'll see next year..

We all gonna be replaced by AI so enjoy while you can

keep the wins coming

 

[piratealew]

We all gonna be replaced by AI so enjoy while you can

keep the wins coming

true, i worked in that space in the infancy stages with an expert system for financial analysis in the mid 2000's, then Watson which was the first gen AI from IBM which we would imbed into the analytics and forecasting TM1 cubes to help forcast/make better decisions, remarkable how accurate it was even 10 years ago.
However, the world will ALWAYS need a salesman. People buy from people (they like). Big corporate purchases, at least.
Other than Watson almost correctly predicting the NCAA bball bracket a few years back, I've yet to see AI be consistent enough to even consider for picking games.

 

[piratealew]

true, i worked in that space in the infancy stages with an expert system for financial analysis in the mid 2000's, then Watson which was the first gen AI from IBM which we would imbed into the analytics and forecasting TM1 cubes to help forcast/make better decisions, remarkable how accurate it was even 10 years ago.
However, the world will ALWAYS need a salesman. People buy from people (they like). Big corporate purchases, at least.
Other than Watson almost correctly predicting the NCAA bball bracket a few years back, I've yet to see AI be consistent enough to even consider for picking games.

Sorry it cut off before i finished.

AI with ML (Machine-learning) like watson's engine are going to be the driving force for AI....otherwise it won't be fully "smart"

 

[piratealew]

Pitching change with Houston, looks like I had Listed for that one so I am putting it back in same with Pirates and F5. Total also of course still stands as that is all action.

Not much change other than a few cents off.,..still in same places in order...

️Pirates-124
Pirates-143 (F5)

 

[piratealew]

was leaning on this all day and forgot to go bet this for Game 2 so here we go. First pitch in 10 mins..

Orioles Over 9-130 (game 2)

 

[piratealew]

Read some more lies from the frauds a Ross the street about totals. No norons, they don’t void when there’s a change in pitchers as totals are action at almost any legal and reputable book . See screen shot of mgm. Only ML void if you selected listed pitchers . also clearly clarified I bet action on clev and cubs game and had to back bet pirates when they changed as I did LP. Cuts both ways trolls but you clowns in the trash rubber room continual to prove how stupidly ignorant you are , especially cheddar Bob who said I went 3-13 yesterday. Poor old man can’t even count. Dumb dumbs