Just looked into this game top to bottom and had the time to pass along the following info and thoughts. Its not a " Play of the Year " or any sort of guaranteed play , but it seems like a great spot for Strasbourg @ 1.80 / -125 range
Team transfer values :
Strasbourg $ 278 mill to Auxerre $ 72 mill
Strasbourg finished in the top tier last season and were awarded a Europa Conference spot this season. Auxerre are playing top tier football for a 2nd straight year after promotion from L2 soccer. Strasbourg are starting with 10 of their starting 11 today , after playing Conference league on Oct 23rd and leaugue on Oct 26 @ Lyon ( 2 - 1 loss ). Auxerre also played on Oct 26th , losing at home to lowly Le Havre. They are using a 5-4-1 formation with only 6 regular starters. The most notable change is in the midfield where Oppegard , a defender , has only 4 minutes of playing time in his past 4 games. Also inserted at Centre Midfield is Diousse , who has spent most of the season on the bench. If you believe that playing a 3rd game in 7 days will take its toll , then it could be a factor. I just think the disparity in talent , especially in the midfield where it matters most , is enormous today. Hope it doesnt come back to bite me with a red card or VAR moment , but this looks like a big mismatch at a great price considering