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FRANZ'S All Sports Thread - 2025/26 Season

Franz555

Franz555

Joined
Apr 10, 2018
Messages
8,969
@Franz555 Any thoughts on the Bills game tonight? Side? Total?
I do

Its hard to be unbiased

its only week 3 , but this game is Miami's season. A loss and your done @ 0 - 3 and likely dealing with a new coaching crew and rebuilding stage. I feel very confident that The Bills offence will put up 30+ tonight. Can Miami reach down and find some extra motivation tonight ? I need 17 + from them in order to cover Over 50 @ 1.85 / -118. Thats my lean at the moment

How about you ? Any strong feelings on the game ?
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
55,994
I do

Its hard to be unbiased

its only week 3 , but this game is Miami's season. A loss and your done @ 0 - 3 and likely dealing with a new coaching crew and rebuilding stage. I feel very confident that The Bills offence will put up 30+ tonight. Can Miami reach down and find some extra motivation tonight ? I need 17 + from them in order to cover Over 50 @ 1.85 / -118. Thats my lean at the moment

How about you ? Any strong feelings on the game ?
Nothing really. On spread using DVOA came up with Buff -10 --> i.e. take the points with MIA but that's not enough of an overlay from the actual spread to make a play.

The total is like you said.... Will Miami show up at all or do we need 40+ pts from the Bills to cover the Over. I would almost lean on the under because I think Miami may lay an egg but its hard to tell like you said. Desperation makes strange things happen.
 
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