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maltedhopsfrenzy

maltedhopsfrenzy

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
2,629
She’s 24

Now what?

emily-bright-2.webp

👍🍺

Now, she better realize that ‘baby fat’ isn’t cute anymore - starting to look a little thick…..
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,684
I'm not going to go back and quote a prevoius post htis time, but I mentioned last week about the market playing games by making the favorite spread plus money on Friday, resulting in upsets. Then the same on Saturday with Florida St, but this time the favorite won, as predicted even if the UPSET Basket pick lost, as predicted.

This Friday the UPSET Basket is on Washington over Rutgers. Pinny dealing Rutgers -3 (+101) and I think we are in the same market situation as Saturday. Currently, we predict the Washington UPSET Baset buys to fail this week.

I have not bought extra Wash in hopes of selling back if they take the lead, but this game is showing a higher probability of being able to get both sides as underdogs. I may be buying more Washington before we see 2.5's everywhere, with intent to sell back on Rutgers.

I would conisder, at this point, a shift towards Washington, to 2.5 to be what we call a "fugazi shift" and consider an outright pre game Rutgers position.

Probablities are shifting based on market indicators so I'll try to update when updates come in.
 

BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
30,329
I'm not going to go back and quote a prevoius post htis time, but I mentioned last week about the market playing games by making the favorite spread plus money on Friday, resulting in upsets. Then the same on Saturday with Florida St, but this time the favorite won, as predicted even if the UPSET Basket pick lost, as predicted.

This Friday the UPSET Basket is on Washington over Rutgers. Pinny dealing Rutgers -3 (+101) and I think we are in the same market situation as Saturday. Currently, we predict the Washington UPSET Baset buys to fail this week.

I have not bought extra Wash in hopes of selling back if they take the lead, but this game is showing a higher probability of being able to get both sides as underdogs. I may be buying more Washington before we see 2.5's everywhere, with intent to sell back on Rutgers.

I would conisder, at this point, a shift towards Washington, to 2.5 to be what we call a "fugazi shift" and consider an outright pre game Rutgers position.

Probablities are shifting based on market indicators so I'll try to update when updates come in.
Good luck on this one, KVB!
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,684
I'm not going to go back and quote a prevoius post htis time, but I mentioned last week about the market playing games by making the favorite spread plus money on Friday, resulting in upsets. Then the same on Saturday with Florida St, but this time the favorite won, as predicted even if the UPSET Basket pick lost, as predicted.

This Friday the UPSET Basket is on Washington over Rutgers. Pinny dealing Rutgers -3 (+101) and I think we are in the same market situation as Saturday. Currently, we predict the Washington UPSET Baset buys to fail this week.

I have not bought extra Wash in hopes of selling back if they take the lead, but this game is showing a higher probability of being able to get both sides as underdogs. I may be buying more Washington before we see 2.5's everywhere, with intent to sell back on Rutgers.

I would conisder, at this point, a shift towards Washington, to 2.5 to be what we call a "fugazi shift" and consider an outright pre game Rutgers position.

Probablities are shifting based on market indicators so I'll try to update when updates come in.

Seeing 2s out there, value dropping on Wash moneyline and while the UPSET Basket is seeing closing line value here, historically I'd like to see 2.5, not two on the spread.

Let's see how the rest of the market responds to this. I mention on outright position on the Rutgers moneyline and we could see a low vig price out there to give us some value on Rutgers.
 
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