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Draftkings getting killed by joe 6 pack public bettors

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stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

Joined
May 30, 2022
Messages
12,736
The live wager line doesn't have a 'motivation' factor to account for 1 squad running out the clock vs another trying to pad it's stats. That's where the book is getting killed.
It’s less efficient, but books definitely aren’t losing much in these situations

Sharps could pounce on a bad late game line and push the number pretty quickly

The books end up doing just fine
 
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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
14,554
The live wager line doesn't have a 'motivation' factor to account for 1 squad running out the clock vs another trying to pad it's stats. That's where the book is getting killed.

LMAO I don't even know where to begin.

So I'll just say that yes, the LIVE line can be vulnerable, but you are barking up the wrong tree in why you think that is.
 

MinnesotaFats

MinnesotaFats

Joined
Nov 1, 2021
Messages
3,982
LMAO I don't even know where to begin.

So I'll just say that yes, the LIVE line can be vulnerable, but you are barking up the wrong tree in why you think that is.
It's the only thing that accounts for the losses. There's been books for 100 years, but only recently have these exotic spreads become so prevalent.

Kids don't bet lines at kickoff anymore, it's all parlays, teasers & mostly live, that why they lost money.
 

MinnesotaFats

MinnesotaFats

Joined
Nov 1, 2021
Messages
3,982
this guy has figured out how the squares can continue to pummel the books!

amazing. must be a math wizard genius
Well, again, as I stated, this isn't a math wizard nor algorithm issue. It's a line set at a point in the game based of an assumption of parity & motivation, but clearly two teams, when the margin is multiple scores apart, have different motivations, and that is where I see my players "pouncing" and would assume it's where DK is getting hit outright with losses and arbitrage betting
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
47,954
Well, again, as I stated, this isn't a math wizard nor algorithm issue. It's a line set at a point in the game based of an assumption of parity & motivation, but clearly two teams, when the margin is multiple scores apart, have different motivations, and that is where I see my players "pouncing" and would assume it's where DK is getting hit outright with losses and arbitrage betting
You mentioned before you have your own sports book in Costa Rica or was it just a casino I forget ?
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
47,954
No point. You stiff a credit book you're a broke dikk fukk. I dont want your milk money at that point, but I'll still bang your wife!
The fact that you trusted Enikk with a credit account is fuckin’ unbelievable in my book. We worked closely together when he was here and he lost my trust with a betting account we had together and he skimmed money off the top, then threatened to shame me on a podcast if I didn’t pay him a very small amount of money he claimed I owed him.

That lying asshole scumbag degenerate would give you a completely different story from his POV. Once that happen I left BMR because I would not work side by side with him anymore back in 2022. BMR eventually banned him for being the crazy person I already knew he was. I then came back and continued my duties here.
 
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