donald trump now -175 favorite win presidency

[KVB]

At this point, betting wise, I think I’d rather Harris won. Got a pretty good number the last time I hedged with her.

 

[KVB]

Also have Dems to hit the popular vote.

For a while, I thought that might be in jeopardy, but I don’t think so now.

 

[KVB]

It’s men versus women, and while there might be more Republicans and Democrats registered to vote in key states, there are more women everywhere.

 

[JDS]

I’ve actually got a ton of bets already I’ve been making them for a while.

I have both sides as dogs.

But I also have a trade with Trump or Biden winning. It’s not a big trade, but the only way I can lose is if one of them were replaced, and that replacement won.

Then along came Harris, lol. Harris became such a big dog I was able to hedge.

Have other down ballot bets as well like Sharon Stone (Lake) to lose in Arizona.

Tremendous I knew you had something like that brewing for you, too much opportunity out there since the early betting.

 

[spicnspan]

Harris was +200 on Polymarket ( +196 after withdrawal fees).

Now the market is catching up to reality after being pushed around by whales.
I'm sure the earned media was worth the MAGA investment with all the articles and market's following PolyMarket to avoid being arb'd against.


If you didn't get the +200, +150 is still avail.

 

[flyingillini]

Trump now -163 at Pinnacle , still -200 at Betnow, what is happening here??????

 

[KVB]

Trump now -163 at Pinnacle , still -200 at Betnow, what is happening here??????

Word getting out the markets may have been inflated, with the intent on making people think Trump was a shoe in.

Operatives on the Red side have been doing it with fringe polls for a while now. It's a skillful psychological exploitation that made it's way into the betting market.

Reality may be a bit different, soon we'll get these bets settled.

Remember back when everyone thought Biden might be out, but he kept saying he was in and the markets had all kinds of crazy props and numbers?

Need to see some of these settled.

Also, you can call BOL, and even try BM and ask for whatever bet on the election youi'd like, even if it's not offered online. They may very well structure something for you.

At this point, I really just need this election to take place becasie I have both sides as dogs, but when I add it up, I do have a position in Harris, Dems in white house, and Dems popular vote.

If the House was blue, the white house was blue, and the Senate was red, I'd be pretty happy bet wise as well.

Going to be record breaking betting on this year's election, that's saying a lot considering how big the last one was. I just hope it ends soon and doesn't drag on.

 

[flyingillini]

Word getting out the markets may have been inflated, with the intent on making people think Trump was a shoe in.

Operatives on the Red side have been doing it with fringe polls for a while now. It's a skillful psychological exploitation that made it's way into the betting market.

Reality may be a bit different, soon we'll get these bets settled.

Remember back when everyone thought Biden might be out, but he kept saying he was in and the markets had all kinds of crazy props and numbers?

Need to see some of these settled.

Also, you can call BOL, and even try BM and ask for whatever bet on the election youi'd like, even if it's not offered online. They may very well structure something for you.

At this point, I really just need this election to take place becasie I have both sides as dogs, but when I add it up, I do have a position in Harris, Dems in white house, and Dems popular vote.

If the House was blue, the white house was blue, and the Senate was red, I'd be pretty happy bet wise as well.

Going to be record breaking betting on this year's election, that's saying a lot considering how big the last one was. I just hope it ends soon and doesn't drag on.

Wow! This is an amazing post! I am always amazed at the great writers such as yourself and @djefferis , both of you are on a whole other level than the rest of us here. @Franz555 comes in as a close 3rd and @Tanko 4th, the rest of us can't write as good as all of you.

#1 @djefferis
#2 @KVB
#3 @Franz555
#4 @Tanko
for writing ability

 

[flyingillini]

Trump now -159 at Pinnacle

 

[Wagerallsports]

It’s a guessing game, but if I had to take a wild guess, I lean that all of the new voters coming out of the woodwork, are voting for Trump

There’s a lot of low IQ people in the country, but I doubt those newbies are like “ Wow things are so great right now we have to finally vote this year to keep everything as they are”

But again, a complete guess…

 

[phillyflyers]

I think the polls are almost always wrong. It makes me wonder.

This time in 2016, Hillary was up 5-15 points or more in every swing state poll.

Trump crushed her. If the polls now say they're even, what's that really saying? That Trump is really ahead by 20 or 30 points?

Seems like it to me.

I'll tell you all right now, Trump has ALL the momentum in PA. He's making inroads with the blacks in Philly, particularly black males who hate Kamala.

He's got ALL the Asian vote here. He's got the majority of Hispanics here. He's got the religious conservatives like the evangelicals and the Amish here.

There is no way she can win PA unless a massive amount of voter fraud occurs.

 

[spicnspan]

Oh, its a landslide for Harris, anyone that's keen to how politics have works. Don't worry tons of 'experts' out there say otherwise. LOL.

I got a bit too much cash down 3 months ago ,but +200 got me healthy AF.

See ya donkeys.

 

[phillyflyers]

Oh, its a landslide for Harris, anyone that's keen to how politics have works. Don't worry tons of 'experts' out there say otherwise. LOL.

I got a bit too much cash down 3 months ago ,but +200 got me healthy AF.

See ya donkeys.

She doesn't have a chance.

Courts coming down on the side of the Republicans. Dems trying to steal votes.

Not happening this time around.

She might not get half the votes Biden got.

 

[flyingillini]

Ar pinnacle now. -142

 

[flyingillini]

She doesn't have a chance.

Courts coming down on the side of the Republicans. Dems trying to steal votes.

Not happening this time around.

She might not get half the votes Biden got.

I sure hope you are right.

 

[spicnspan]

You guys have too much emotional attachment to this.
The facts are simple.
Women are breaking at huge rates in the polls for Harris.
Women are still voting in-line to prior elections: aka more women.
Landslide.
Doesn't matter who you want to win.

 

[spicnspan]

It’s a guessing game, but if I had to take a wild guess, I lean that all of the new voters coming out of the woodwork, are voting for Trump

There’s a lot of low IQ people in the country, but I doubt those newbies are like “ Wow things are so great right now we have to finally vote this year to keep everything as they are”

But again, a complete guess…

No, all these new voters are coming out because Women's rights are being attacked. Bar none. That is a huge driver compared to a racist bigot on tv prancing around. That worked before, but everyone knows that shtick. What they now know is all the horror that women's healthcare is at in many states.

 

[spicnspan]

Trump now -163 at Pinnacle , still -200 at Betnow, what is happening here??????

Someone decided that pushing the market with millions of dollars for trump was a great way to get 'earned media' coverage by all of the news around it. Likely a lot cheaper than traditional ad buy.
Bias from crypto-bros is likely another factor.
This created a nice little echo-chamber.

 

[spicnspan]

Ar pinnacle now. -142
View attachment 45875

Selzer poll in Iowa is a wake-up call as she knows her state and is accurate. Iowa was once, what +9 for Trump in 2020. Now Selzer has Harris ahead.
Yikes.

 

[lekidecincinnati]

trump -125 at bovada

wow this is crazy