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Cincy @ NY Yankees 7:05 ET - NYY ML -305 - Do you go back at them after last night?

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,497
Minor (CIN) 6.63 ERA vs Severino (NYY) 3.11 ERA as starters.

NYY have been #1 in batting over last 7 days (0.323 AVG). Cincy has been respectable and is in top 10 over same period (0.268 AVG).

NYY Relief pitching is #2 in MLB at 2.62 ERA while Cincy is 29th at 4.28 ERA.

Anyone making this play?

The RL is juicy as well at -1.5 -155
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
52,838
The collapse last night was all on Holmes. He's been a great pitcher this season so it was just a fluke, right?
This is the part that is key

If they would have played bad last night I would say yes surely they bounce back

However it's a game that they actually should have won, which increases the odds that the next game might be one of those they dont deserve to win
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,497
This is the part that is key

If they would have played bad last night I would say yes surely they bounce back

However it's a game that they actually should have won, which increases the odds that the next game might be one of those they dont deserve to win
It's pricey Wager.
Do you make this play?
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,497
Yeah... I like them on a winning streak. They are playing against a MIA team that has been struggling. Most of the stats are pretty even in this game.

Starting Pitching:
Brubaker (PIT) 3.81 ERA over the last month.
Lopez (MIA) 4.40 ERA over the last month.

Season Batting:
PIT WRC+ 89, OPS 0.673, AVG 0.222
MIA WRC+ 95, OPS 0.680, AVG 0.244

Recent Batting (last 10 days):
More recently PIT is better at the plate than MIA
PIT WRC+ 80, OPS 0.649, AVG 0.213
MIA WRC+ 40, OPS 0.486, AVG 0.184

Relief Pitching:
Miami has the edge here.
PIT 3.99 ERA
MIA 3.49 ERA


PIT is on a 4 game win streak. They got a little momentum going. But, what realy put me on the game was that they are scoring (over last 3 games) 5.31 runs/gm while Miami is at at 1.67 runs/gm. That's 3.64 run/gm advantage for PIT. At +158 I see value when you add it all up.
 
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