Yeah... I like them on a winning streak. They are playing against a MIA team that has been struggling. Most of the stats are pretty even in this game.
Starting Pitching:
Brubaker (PIT) 3.81 ERA over the last month.
Lopez (MIA) 4.40 ERA over the last month.
Season Batting:
PIT WRC+ 89, OPS 0.673, AVG 0.222
MIA WRC+ 95, OPS 0.680, AVG 0.244
Recent Batting (last 10 days):
More recently PIT is better at the plate than MIA
PIT WRC+ 80, OPS 0.649, AVG 0.213
MIA WRC+ 40, OPS 0.486, AVG 0.184
Relief Pitching:
Miami has the edge here.
PIT 3.99 ERA
MIA 3.49 ERA
PIT is on a 4 game win streak. They got a little momentum going. But, what realy put me on the game was that they are scoring (over last 3 games) 5.31 runs/gm while Miami is at at 1.67 runs/gm. That's 3.64 run/gm advantage for PIT. At +158 I see value when you add it all up.