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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,619
So from your understanding the money always moves the markets & not really the % of the public bet ? I understand a lot of times when the public bet has the majority of the tickets then the money will also be heavy to one side for movement.

I just need some clarification on this & have you ever talked about RLM in one of your videos. Another term in this industry I don’t quite understand how it is actually implemented with betting numbers.

Yeah money is definitley going to be more influential than any bet% but know that if there is a high percentage on one side, there is probably high money too.

Sometimes those percentages are wrong or misleading, you have to always use common sense. I use gauges, like the public gauge and other metrics to help corroborate whether Joe Blow is on that side as a public bettor.

If you put the picture together, and see that the public is likely on one side, but that line moves the other way, you might have RLM.

I've talked about RLM before but not so much in a video. These days it can be controversial as the % numbers can be questioned. Some think there is no contrarian edges anymore, but I maintain that you need to really assess what contrarian is, like my Contrarian Funds.

Sometimes it's not easy, sometimes it's confusing, and sometimes we just get burned as info and assumptions can be wrong.

It's always a work in progress.
 

pete0

pete0

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
2,103
So from your understanding the money always moves the markets & not really the % of the public bet ? I understand a lot of times when the public bet has the majority of the tickets then the money will also be heavy to one side for movement.

I just need some clarification on this & have you ever talked about RLM in one of your videos. Another term in this industry I don’t quite understand how it is actually implemented with betting numbers.

As far as I know, RLM means sharp action / perception manipulation.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
45,033
Yeah money is definitley going to be more influential than any bet% but know that if there is a high percentage on one side, there is probably high money too.

Sometimes those percentages are wrong or misleading, you have to always use common sense. I use gauges, like the public gauge and other metrics to help corroborate whether Joe Blow is on that side as a public bettor.

If you put the picture together, and see that the public is likely on one side, but that line moves the other way, you might have RLM.

I've talked about RLM before but not so much in a video. These days it can be controversial as the % numbers can be questioned. Some think there is no contrarian edges anymore, but I maintain that you need to really assess what contrarian is, like my Contrarian Funds.

Sometimes it's not easy, sometimes it's confusing, and sometimes we just get burned as info and assumptions can be wrong.

It's always a work in progress.
Ok good I’m glad I’m not the only one who thinks RLM can be controversial and manipulated to confuse bettors.
 
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pete0

pete0

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
2,103
m going with CLE ml.

on a side note - A. Rodgers is usually in vacation mode until Game 2! of Reg. season. :an_light:
 
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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,619
Wow market blinked to 34, juiced on the UNDER, and quickly went back to 33.5.

Books getting some action on tonight's Total, that's for sure.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,619
I'm not seeing a free bet in my account

Where do I find it?

Or do you just make the wager and get reimbursed if you lose?

I believe it's at the top of the betslip. Click a bet then there are boxes above the bet slip, "free play" and one is "free bet"

I'm not sure about mobile though.
 
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