Can the Pirates win 68 games this year?

[jjgold]

Fazzer you knew something we did not

 

[slickfazzer]

Fazzer you knew something we did not

Its a long season. Lets see how things turn out.

 

[slickfazzer]

Now 11-7, with a solid 8-4 record on the road.

Win games early in the year vs poor teams, as things tighten up later.

 

[Wagerallsports]

They're rolling again today

 

[slickfazzer]

Now 20-13, but have lost 5 straight.

 

[jjgold]

Fading bad

Need a win

 

[KVB]

In roughly a 9.5 point game I figure the no vig line here of -125.74/+125.74 with Toronto favored. Pinny is dealing a no vig line of -137.90/+137.90 and offering +133 for Pit.

You can see, at the current market, that there is just enough overlay for my "sharp" line to be halting the Pit price from rising. As of now, I'd consider the sharp side of the market leading on the dog and thus "truer" no vig price here of about +133 is in play.

The "sharps" are stopping the public from raising the Toronto line with the current hold. Perhaps losing 5 straight like Fazzer said has taken it's toll on the public betting even if there some looking for that streak to break.

Let's see how this trades going forward today.

For more on leading and lagging lines, public and sharp driven, this is a good reference...

 

[Wagerallsports]

Tampa knocked Pirates back down to Earth

 

[Wagerallsports]

Tampa knocked Pirates back down to Earth

 

[KVB]

 

[KVB]

In roughly a 9.5 point game...

Big news here is that I Forecast an OVER and that's a bit controversial among some of us, lol.

BOL willing to deal an 8.5 but charging for that OVER.

The market is on that edge, with some tempting prices at 9, I feel I have a pretty solid Forecast and a decent grip on this game, but that Total requires some watching.

 

[slickfazzer]

Lets see if these Pirates can get to 30 wins by June 1st.

 

[slickfazzer]

Looking for 28-30 by June 1st, then 40 by all star break.

 

[Tanko]

I'd be shocked if they don't make 68. I know its early but, they are on an 84-85 win pace.
It would require a pretty bad collapse or a lot of injuries not to make it.

Using Bill James scoring pythagorean, their record is about what would be expected for their for/against scoring pace.

 

[slickfazzer]

next stop,

40 wins by all-star break.

 

[jjgold]

Fazzer do you think a cash Sept 1?

 

[baz]

You just wait until we get healthy again. Once Big D*** Choi and CRUZ missile comeback we are going on a big run. Pirates are winning the central.

 

[Archie]

You just wait until we get healthy again. Once Big D*** Choi and CRUZ missile comeback we are going on a big run. Pirates are winning the central.

call me skeptical.

next stop, cutch 2k hit milestone (3 away)

 

[slickfazzer]

You just wait until we get healthy again. Once Big D*** Choi and CRUZ missile comeback we are going on a big run. Pirates are winning the central.

JJ maybe time to buy a ticket on them to win the PENNENT.

 

[baz]

WE f**** need this dudes presence........