Skip to content

BMR Model 15 team parlay.

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
17,546
From the player's perspective, and the market for that matter, there is a pretty big difference between an open parlay and not.

Completely different strategy of parlay construction.

At least it should be.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
55,903
From the player's perspective, and the market for that matter, there is a pretty big difference between an open parlay and not.

Completely different strategy of parlay construction.

At least it should be.
I've hit a number of non open parlay's in my betting career totaling over +150K the last 20 years, my parlay winnings is basically the only reason why I'm a profitable sports bettor, yes I know that is not typical.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
17,546
I've hit a number of non open parlay's in my betting career totaling over +150K the last 20 years, my parlay winnings is basically the only reason why I'm a profitable sports bettor, yes I know that is not typical.

I'm not implying you won't succeed. Hell, if the parlay payouts are true, and many are, you are dealing with the same probabilities as straight bets. The difference is that the larger the parlay the larger the drought between wins, but still the larger payout makes up for it.

It's a myth that parlays are somehow worse, just because it's a parlay.

Shit, the two pick parlay is one of the most dangerous weapons in a professional bettor's arsenal. I've made thousands upon thousands in my day.

What I'm saying is that the strategy to build the parlay is different if it's OPEN. You have a lot more choices if you keep it OPEN, for one thing.

I'm not saying OPEN is better, either, it just depends on your execution of what I always called "Parlay Construction."

The root of the differnce in strategies comes from the reality that the games are interrelated, including the results.

Many think the games are independant events, and you can bet that way, but it's simply not true for the broader markets.
 
  • Like
Reactions: JDS

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
55,903
Solid symmetry jerky..no one deserves to hit 1 of these more than you after that Syracuse screwjob!
*tried something similar on a 17 leg TD parlay on a $50 BB..never had a chance going 8-9 with 1 decent stretch hitting 4 in a row

View attachment 73382
View attachment 73383
Thanks man, this would be epic for the entire site if I can pull this off with the model picks.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
55,903
GL Buddy.
Don't forget us here are BMR if you hit it. You still need to hang out.
Never that BMR is my second home, a lot of you posters are my gambling brothers for life man, I’m a very loyal guy if I’m involved in this industry, until then I’ll be sticking around regardless of how big my bankroll is.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
55,903
BMR Model failed me here on the pipe dream parlay :+thumbs-1 (slow start to the day as well, but many games left to come to end the day).
 
Top