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BMR BEST BET THREAD - December 26th 2023

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
47,102
My logic was if the QB difference was that much, it should have moved a month ago when it was announced. These aren't big chunk line moves, just a steady stream, which I though was the public reading bowls guides and seeing a 5-7 record and reacting accordingly. I know your reasons for taking BG were different, that's just how I viewed the public.
My first pass on the game was MIN - pts.
I changed my mind when:
  • I read about the QB inexperience (experienced in years, not in playing time).
  • MIN had a horrible November. They went from controlling the BIG10 West to last in the West with 4 straight losses. I just thought their momentum was in a downard spiral.
  • BG playing simlar strength teams well.
 

Microphone

Microphone

Joined
Nov 3, 2021
Messages
1,130
My first pass on the game was MIN - pts.
I changed my mind when:
  • I read about the QB inexperience (experienced in years, not in playing time).
  • MIN had a horrible November. They went from controlling the BIG10 West to last in the West with 4 straight losses. I just thought their momentum was in a downward spiral.
  • BG playing similar strength teams well.
All legit items. My only hesitations was that BG just played in this bowl last year and I find teams going back not only to a bowl the following year but the same bowl know the landscape, the amenities all that BS. Still thought there was enough edge to Minny but so far looks like a toss up.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
47,102
All legit items. My only hesitations was that BG just played in this bowl last year and I find teams going back not only to a bowl the following year but the same bowl know the landscape, the amenities all that BS. Still thought there was enough edge to Minny but so far looks like a toss up.
Kind of looks like a toss up now although MIN is getting better and better as the game goes on and Kramer isn't as bad as I had hoped.
 
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