BITCOIN Discussion..........

[JDS]

I don't. My betting strategy is very simple. I just look for numbers that are far enough off market that they are +ev. So if the entire world has the Falcons at -3.5 and one shop has them offered at -3, I'm gonna bet the -3.
This is why college basketball is awesome. So many games and lots of variance.

Yeah you bet like a pro/syndicate thought so lol. I’m a true handicapper of what goes on the field & usually sell a half point back for low juice or plus odds on numbers I think are off. I’ve had some success through the years, but like I said in a previous post “I’m no pro”.

 

[Wagerallsports]

$92.5K

 

[Ace7550]

Yeah you bet like a pro/syndicate thought so lol. I’m a true handicapper of what goes on the field & usually sell a half point back for low juice or plus odds on numbers I think are off. I’ve had some success through the years, but like I said in a previous post “I’m no pro”.

If you've been gambling for years and you are up then I would consider you a pro. Winning is not easy and there's more than one way to skin a cat. I have lots of respect for people that cap and people that run numbers and create models.

 

[nasios]

I don't. My betting strategy is very simple. I just look for numbers that are far enough off market that they are +ev. So if the entire world has the Falcons at -3.5 and one shop has them offered at -3, I'm gonna bet the -3.
This is why college basketball is awesome. So many games and lots of variance.

Agreed in many points

1. College basketball has so much variance even the closing lines have. The latest one I 've experienced is o149 points dropping to o145.5 for the same price. And this happens all the time, lol.. Does anybody know why?

2. I guess it is safer to use the average price across multiple shops - probably offshore ones and pinnacle - to identify the market price. I used to go by pinnacle but after seeing all those high climbs/drops around I have gotten trust issues. I don't have stats though, it's only intuition..

p.s. A bit off the thread but it's a good chance to raise this topic

 

[Ace7550]

Agreed in many points

1. College basketball has so much variance even the closing lines have. The latest one I 've experienced is o149 points dropping to o145.5 for the same price. And this happens all the time, lol.. Does anybody know why?

2. I guess it is safer to use the average price across multiple shops - probably offshore ones and pinnacle - to identify the market price. I used to go by pinnacle but after seeing all those high climbs/drops around I have gotten trust issues. I don't have stats though, it's only intuition..

p.s. A bit off the thread but it's a good chance to raise this topic

Pinny and Circa are the sharpest. If those two books are in agreement it's very likely their number is correct.

 

[nasios]

Pinny and Circa are the sharpest. If those two books are in agreement it's very likely their number is correct.

I have heard of Circa for its sharpness in US sports.
What is the way to get their lines?

 

[Ace7550]

I have heard of Circa for its sharpness in US sports.
What is the way to get their lines?

Download their app or some odds providers have them.

 

[Wagerallsports]

$90K

 

[b3winsto]

Bear market in crypto is such a bitch. Anytime it feels like its going to bounce it just goes back to deeper red.

 

[flyingillini]

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[Ace7550]

Down roughly 35k in a month. Should be a correction soon.

 

[flyingillini]

it’s over folks.
Michael Saylor is a fraud for BTC
Tom Lee is a fraud for ETH
Jake Claver is a fraud for XRP

View this content on Instagram

View this content on Instagram

 

[flyingillini]

Down roughly 35k in a month. Should be a correction soon.

Down 220k

 

[jjgold]

Hopefully it goes to 25,000 then we’ll come in

 

[Wagerallsports]

$88K

Anyone buying soon or waiting for a specific number?

 

[acltear]

Bitcoin Price history with halving:

November 2012: Halving #1
December 2013: Bitcoin High $1,100
August 2015: Bitcoin Low $200
July 2016: Halving #2
December 2017: Bitcoin High $20,000
February 2019: Bitcoin Low $3,000
May 2020: Halving #3
November 2021: Bitcoin High $67,000
November 2022: Bitcoin Low $15,000
April 2024: Halving #4
October 2025: Bitcoin High(?) $126,000
November -January 2026/27: Bitcoin Low...?
March 2028: Halving #5 (estimated)

Very consistent 4 year cycle since inception.

I have seen others reference this cycle before. What is the reason for the swings? Obviously doesn't happen just cuz. And with how well known the cycle is, seems like the market would do some reverse psychology on itself? I use bitcoin, but am not a trader or analyst of it. Feels like big time investors would just time the market within a reasonable range. Maybe they do and it becomes a self fulfilling prophecy?

 

[Wagerallsports]

$88K

Anyone buying soon or waiting for a specific number?

Less than 30 minutes - Now $87K

 

[Wagerallsports]

Down $38K in the last 6-7 weeks

October 5 it was $124.5 K

 

[BigJay]

 

[JDS]

View attachment 78604

I know you are secretly hoping it goes down since you have missed the boat every single time it has arrived lol.