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Atlanta -1.5 +102

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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,968
Arizona D’backs are slipping down the standings at a precipitous pace. They have currently lost 4 straight & 10 of their last 14. First baseman Christian Walker is batting .100 (4-for-40) in 11 games this month.

It’s redundant to tell you why to take Atlanta in this spot as they are the best team in baseball. I will mention they have the pitching advantage with Elder as they are 8-2 at home when he pitches with a respectable ERA of 3.09.

Take Atlanta on the RL & good luck if you tail. 🍀
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,968
This is a BMR best bet.

6/18
1. JDS 87-68-0 +27.33 Units
MLB Atlanta -1.5 +102
Justbet
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,968
1BB51115-A40E-4E76-9470-F840381E8BD3.jpeg
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,968
Model shows a -1.5 advantage.

2624E068-1546-45FB-87A7-2023ADC1FE5C.jpeg
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,968
runline is always tough with the home team. I always fear a useless run top 9 and they win by 1 run.

Better value and not laying juice, but that extra run is always scary
Yeah rule of thumb always better to lay the RL on the road for obvious reasons. I’m seeing a 5-1 type game with my forecast.
 

stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

Joined
May 30, 2022
Messages
13,568
if you risk the same amount. Some people risk same every bet, so people it's to win each bet so the juice ways heavier?

or am i confusing something
Yeah I think you're confusing just pricing vs. juice, sometimes it's used interchangeably

Juice is evenly distributed to both plays

So if you have a -150 vs. a +130, there's "20 points" of juice, distributed evenly each way.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,968
Almost 1st pitch for those who are interested.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,968
Shootout folks Braves 9 D’backs 8 bottom 5.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
53,968
Loser 👎 bad pick for sure no excuses.
 
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