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As far as the line screen, most pros only follow about four shops

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pete0

pete0

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
2,110
But just to be safe, that book is likely to offer a higher favorite and still be shorting on the dog. A book doing that regularly against the market, basically reveals their cards.

When it comes to something like football, not just moneylines, one thing to do is to look at alternate lines at a sharp book, like Pinny, and see if one of those off books can beat it in their alt lines.

The straight up obvious markets, in big sports, can be harder to identify but if you walk down the alt lines and props, you can find books that are off of what most would consider an efficient or mathematically "correct" sharp book.

But even the sharp book wants action, so it has to price where people will buy, or sell.


which book would that be ?
revealing their cards could also just mean balancing action... or r they taking a side?

what would u consider a popular "rec" only book.?
as we know BM/ Pinny are "sharp" ones/ rather welcome all action.

Thats an interesting strategy to look at alt. lines and compare.

I'm still a little confused @KVB
specifically the part of WHICH* books to compare.
&
say Pinny is not budging from -120 /+100 .
but another "rec" book is going to -135/+100, say regularly .

what does this actually mean ? how would we determine. if the +100 is the right play
or just the rec book mitigating +EV .
 
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jjgold

jjgold

Joined
Oct 15, 2021
Messages
32,933
KVB exchanges do not work unless 30+ states involved
Betfair only works because caters to entire Countries 57 of them

NJ has them no volume need tons of players and that is not happening individual states
 
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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
14,825
Correct Gold, there must be a way, though.

Pete, great discussion there, I want to me a bit thoughtful on the answers and need some time as i have other shit to take care of right now, I see you though. I'll be back to this thread.
 

pete0

pete0

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
2,110
KVB send me an Ounce

in other matters...

which book would that be ?
revealing their cards could also just mean balancing action... or r they taking a side?

what would u consider a popular "rec" only book.?
as we know BM/ Pinny are "sharp" ones/ rather welcome all action.

Thats an interesting strategy to look at alt. lines and compare.

I'm still a little confused @KVB
specifically the part of WHICH* books to compare.
&
say Pinny is not budging from -120 /+100 .
but another "rec" book is going to -135/+100, say regularly .

what does this actually mean ? how would we determine. if the +100 is the right play
or just the rec book mitigating +EV .


bump @KVB

hope ur keeping in good health, will u be more active going forth, sharing insight on ur picks
:popcorn:


much respect!
 

pete0

pete0

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
2,110
@KVB @jjgold

which 4 books ?

give me some insight on how each book behaves & how* exactly the cards are revealed please :popcorn:

how do u side with the "sharper" side of which*** book ??
 
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