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Are the Yankees gonna win again tonight?

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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,590
Yankees first five looking strong, but not in the bag, that's for sure.

I don't think Cole is going to break early though.

Unreal.

5 run top of the 5th to push the bet.

Fukk that.

200w.gif
 
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sunshine11

sunshine11

Joined
Jan 3, 2022
Messages
3,299
Bets on Louis Tech mention in DDD's thread yesterday.

I also mentioned Wisconsin on the spread and moneyline, but those 3.5s and 4s were better than the 3's.

Visiting Dog Fund (Road Spreads)

Louisian Monroe +10
Standiford +10
Wisky +4, +3.5......+3 is ok, but margin seriously reduced.
UCLA +10.5, +9.5, +7.5, +7.....+6.5 ok, same thing though, recognize the give of margin.
Wyoming +7.5
Kentucky +16.5, +16

UPSET Basket, road dogs on the moneyline here...

ODU early, line is gone but never really materialized into what we had hoped.

-Arizona, on the outsaide target of the UPSET basket, not the best bet that's for sure., but margin could ther at these levels.
-TCU
-Northwestern, if you can get the pickem or back down less than -110.
-Minnesota and NC we hit too early, ruined the line, like Northwestern.
-Midd Tenn St
-Arizona St same thing, blew that line up, sorry.
-Tulsa
-Wisconsin

:hattip:
Does this mean to bet these or fade please?
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,590
Does this mean to bet these or fade please?

Charliebrown asked about inflated spreads this week, I've identified some home favorites we see as inflated, for various reasons and two strategies that pick from that pool of road dogs.

I own those plays and teams above in the two different Funds.

Whether that means for you to bet or fade is a different story, lol.

Numbers do matter in these strategies and anything can happen. I anticipate a mixed bag with the differnence between profit and loss being one or two more winners in the Visiting Dog Fund and the number bought in the UPSET Basket.

Gonna be a rat race this weekend.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,590
Visiting Dog Fund (Road Spreads)...

...UPSET Basket, road dogs on the moneyline here...

-Northwestern, if you can get the pickem or back down less than -110...

Northwestern "went our way," and not only has it triggered in the UPSET basket, giving us far better than pick'em odds, but it also triggered in the Visiitng Dog Fund under one of the more obscure but +EV spread strategies.

Line couild continue to move away from some of the early buying here so I have left room to still get the whole position down, but we might be at the peak now..

Best price I have for N'western is +112, the worst price is a small +100 buy and I have a few numbers in between there.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,590
Damn, I wish you posted this type of material in a created thread every week so we could all have a better chance to make money.

Too much after the fact and line moves, etc.

I used to post those openers, you might remember, but Gold starts threads about me moving lines, etc, and that's just not going ot fly. Haven't posted the real time buys since he did that.

Tough for me to post that I own such and such @ +125 when it's already -110 in the market.

Just doesn't feel right to me, so I don't post anything.

Crazy I slipped that one in, muyt have been baked, lol.

pass-the-joint-wiz-khalifa.gif
 
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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
44,981
Too much after the fact and line moves, etc.

I used to post those openers, you might remember, but Gold starts threads about me moving lines, etc, and that's just not going ot fly. Haven't posted the real time buys since he did that.

Tough for me to post that I own such and such @ +125 when it's already -110 in the market.

Just doesn't feel right to me, so I don't post anything.

Crazy I slipped that one in, muyt have been baked, lol.

pass-the-joint-wiz-khalifa.gif
Yeah, I get it. I wouldn’t mind personally even if I’m getting a worse price/number than you since you like the game and I like the game I’d bet it regardless. The haters would be in full force, questioning your early buys a potential headache lol.
 
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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,590
Yeah, I get it. I wouldn’t mind personally even if I’m getting a worse price/number than you since you like the game and I like the game I’d bet it regardless. The haters would be in full force, questioning your early buys a potential headache lol.

Not to mention I would add some of what I'm thinking or looking for with the market movement, not just what we've seen when I post. It would be good for me, and good for any readers.

I could just start each thread with "I don't give a rat's ass if you don't like that lines have already moved. Deal with it and here's some info so o what you'd like with it"

lol
 
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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,590
@JDS Georgia St is about to trigger in the Visiting Dog Fund for tonight's game. Just shopping some prices and establishing my outlook for the market and it's movement over the last hour.
 
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