Any Decisions Yet NCAA Tonight?

[KVB]

My stacking percentages Forecast has LSU slightly with an edge wth 35 points to Alabama's 35 or 34 points.

The non-predictive public gauge has Alabama winning 35-21.

I mentioned in Gold's thread that this play qualified of the KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket, one of 17 today.

We believe the Bama moneyline is inflated and while LSU winning won't be easy, the USPET Basket finds value at +135 and +140.

I have added to the basket +145 as this market continues to press on the Bama moneyline as we approach kickoff.

That's LSU +145, 140, and 135 in the KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket.

Good Luck.

 

[KVB]

Illinois +3, also in the UPSET Basket at +115.
Zona St +11
Charlotte +4, also in the UPSET Basket at +165

Noooo!

Charlotte, up 26-23, commits the personal foul on the QB to put them in 1st and goal with :20 left.

Spread and ml on the line, with OT a potential issue.

Potential TD pass, ruled no TD, under review.

Fuk.

 

[jjgold]

Watching games a waste
Go skiing
Follow scores

 

[KVB]

Watching games a waste
Go skiing
Follow scores

 

[KVB]

Gold, money is moving.

It points one direction, shifts to others, all within the timeslots and because of them. This is a live and dynamic market all day long with swings games at night.

I'm watching it all, you son of a bitch.

Now, do me a favor and...

 

[jjgold]

KVB when you going to be in Tahoe?

I will buy you a meal you broke mother fuker

 

[KVB]

Watching games a waste
Go skiing
Follow scores

Spent all morning at the high school for our education foundation, Gold. I'm the treasurer.

We did a fundraiser where we let the seniors paint their own reserved parking spot. It was pretty cool.

After setting up, I was making NCAAF trades, at times, while at there.

I got my sun and fun today already.

But the markets have been busy today. Did you see the #1 team only score 7 points in the first half? All hell almost broke loose in the markets.

Do you even understand, @jjgold what I'm talking about?

Pay attention, Gold.

 

[KVB]

I realize there were 17 KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket plays today and it's best to invest in the whole basket, or pass, depending on the market. We've been in a buy signal for the entire season so even individual games may have probabilistic value, even if lines have moved.

The stacking percentages forecast has a tie or Boise St winning with 34 or 31 points to Fresno State's 31 points.

The non predictive public gauge has Fresno St winning 28-24.

Since the open I have been buying Boise St moneyline at +135 and +125 in the KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket.

While it has significantly diminished, for those looking for action, we believe that is still some value at better than +115 with a limit at +115. These numbers are out there in the market.

Good Luck.

 

[KVB]

I didn't post every play, and the UPSET Basket did grind out a profit today, but let's see what happened in what I did post:

Illinois +3, also in the UPSET Basket at +115.
Zona St +11
Charlotte +4, also in the UPSET Basket at +165

LSU +145

Boise St moneyline at +135

The Visiting Dog Fund was 2-1, with the wins being -110, and -107 for a + .844 unit profit.

The UPSET Basket was 2-2, with the wins being +115 and +165 for a +.8 unit profit.

@jjgold , never forget...

 

[KVB]

I have already begun accumulating plays for early this week, in NJ.

 

[KVB]

Openers due to be widely available soon, I've already bought a shit ton of plays, or at least have the hunt out for what we're looking for. Probably not going to post every opener at the time I confirm it, I've done that before, many weeks in a row.

It's best for tracking but the Forum might just get a list, even if lines will have moved.

 

[jjgold]

I have already begun accumulating plays for early this week, in NJ.

KVB you do not live in NJ nor do you have beards

 

[KVB]

KVB you do not live in NJ nor do you have beards

 

[KVB]

Don't fukk with me Gold.

We are pounding openers from Circa Vegas to FD New Jersey and all over the interwebs.

Just like every week.

This year Arizona is added to the mix, but I think you know that.

 

[jjgold]

KVB let’s settle in Tahoe

 

[KVB]

Hey Gold, the KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund has picked up Ball State +10.5, I have it at -110.

Try to get 10.5, but 10 and even 9.5 will do, but 9.5 is really pushing it value wise and should be done with low vig, at least.

There will be room to pick this up at +10 at higher limits. I think.

 

[KVB]

The KVB Visiting Dog Fund has Rutgers +3 (-105)

The KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket is on Rutgers +126 and then again at +114.

Hoping for Iowa pressure to help bump that moneyline up when it's more widely available.

Position is NOT FULL.

Trying to keep these plays in here for the most part. Two more buys I've mentioned.

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Spent all morning at the high school for our education foundation, Gold. I'm the treasurer.

KVB, move some numbers around and wire me $250.

They will never know. They trust you. And it will be our little secret.

 

[jjgold]

KVB you embezzle any money?

 

[KVB]

No, I have included an independent audit requirement in the Foundation by-Laws and the school district knows this and, while they haven't, I expect them to ask us for an audit.

I suppose I could cook the books and wash some cash, but we are honest and the Foundation is on the up and up.