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Alabama +145

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
61,048
That's the brutal thing about sports betting

You play this game 100 times, probably right around 50-50. But wrong side of variance this particular match-up, even though price was awesome

I would see if these two teams play in the SEC tourney, make a bet on Alabama again
Thanks for the moral support tonight. This one was a bad call on my part. I took the bait & got hooked easy.
 

stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

Joined
May 30, 2022
Messages
15,036
Thanks for the moral support tonight. This one was a bad call on my part. I took the bait & got hooked easy.
Not a bad call. It's a good shot to take, keep finding them and taking them.

+145 for a 50ish% is well done. Variance does it thing, didn't bounce your way tonight
 

stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

Joined
May 30, 2022
Messages
15,036
Funny thing is, if the Vols were dogs I would‘ve picked them. Thought the line was off & it wasn’t.
Lines capture the middle of distribution of outcomes well. Mean outcome if these teams played significant amount of games would have been probably more like Vols by 1 to 1.5 or so. So +145 is great for ML

Turnovers are a highly variable stat, doubt much of that distrbution had Vols +10 in that department (or whatever it was).

It's a brutal game. Lot of variance. And there's only 1 outcome or "simulation"
 

stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

Joined
May 30, 2022
Messages
15,036
You chose to vilify me we coulda been cool you picked incorrectly and found out. Live and learn
You coulda been cool and calm and explained yourself

Was more than willing to exchange some war stories

Decided to be psychotic fuckstick instead

Live and learn Gollum
 

stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

Joined
May 30, 2022
Messages
15,036
I don't know if it's like this in college basketball every year but I have seen so many top ranked teams lose on the road this year

Home court has mattered a lot
Was that way in college football too

I wish college postseasons had home court. Pros have huge edge that way.....so glad that KC/Buffalo game never happened
 

flyingillini

flyingillini

Joined
Jul 25, 2022
Messages
28,671
Not disrespecting you either stalker is on the loose
I long and yearn to be stalked. I want to experience what others have felt with your stalking. I can guarantee it wouldn’t bother me.
#StalkMePatty
#GentlyYetViolently
#DisrespectMePatty
 
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