7 pack Coll Foots for Saturday.

[JDS]

1. Texas -4 -108
2. Jacksonville St. +16 -108
3. Oklahoma St. +6 -108
4. Minnesota -1.5 -108
5. Iowa St. -2.5 -108
6. Rutgers +18.5 -103
7. Fresno St. -3 +100

Football record ytd : 36-16 +21.84 (all plays posted & tracked)

 

[BMR Genie]

Let's go!!!!!!!!! Good luck, JDS.

 

[KVB]

Here's my opinion on some of those games based on Forecasts and Fund triggers...

1. Disagree, I have K State moneyline from early trading in the UPSET Basket.
2. Agree with Jax St, I have them winning outright in the Forecasts
3. No opinion, I have Oklahoma winning by about 10
4. Disagree, I have Illinois spread and ml from early trading in the Visiting Dog Fund and UPSET Basket.
5. Kansas triggered in the UPSET basket at +125.
6. Agree with Rutgers, I have them only losing by about 10, spread is high and who knows, this could be an upset.
7. Disagree, I've had Boise St on the moneyline since the open in the UPSET Basket.

Those Fund plays have done well this year, lost both UPSET basket plays yesterday though.

We got a mixed bag Jerky, you don't agree with some Fund plays, but Jax St and Rutgers we do agree, those lines are too high.

 

[JDS]

1. Texas -4 -108

Back up Maalik Murphy for Texas made a decent start at home last week vs BYU & he will give it a go again this week in place of injured Quinn Ewers. Look for him to clean things up & not make any turnovers this game coach Steve Sarkisian implanted a firm message to him this week as KSU is a far more inferior opponent compared to BYU. KSU is a team you play at home & fade on the road especially against the highest ranked team in the Big 12.

 

[JDS]

Here's my opinion on some of those games based on Forecasts and Fund triggers...

1. Disagree, I have K State moneyline from early trading in the UPSET Basket.
2. Agree with Jax St, I have them winning outright in the Forecasts
3. No opinion, I have Oklahoma winning by about 10
4. Disagree, I have Illinois spread and ml from early trading in the Visiting Dog Fund and UPSET Basket.
5. Kansas triggered in the UPSET basket at +125.
6. Agree with Rutgers, I have them only losing by about 10, spread is high and who knows, this could be an upset.
7. Disagree, I've had Boise St on the moneyline since the open in the UPSET Basket.

Those Fund plays have done well this year, lost both UPSET basket plays yesterday though.

We got a mixed bag Jerky, you don't agree with some Fund plays, but Jax St and Rutgers we do agree, those lines are too high.

Thanks for sharing we are pretty much half n half on these matchups KVB. Just trying to go 4-3 at the very worst to cover my reduced vig.

 

[KVB]

Can Rutgers shock the world?

Gonna be tough.

 

[JDS]

Jacksonville St. +16 -108

No write up here just sharing a model I follow & respect that supports this play.

 

[JDS]

Can Rutgers shock the world?

Gonna be tough.

Let's hope so buddy, but Stormy is on the OSU -18.5 which worries be a bit as he is the hottest commodity here at BMR with posted picks.

 

[JDS]

Oklahoma St. +6 -108

Oklahoma St. has a huge strength weakness advantage in this game against an exploited run defense of Oklahoma in recent games. Ollie Gordon is a "beast" & is the hottest running back in the land entering this game. I think this advantage is significant enough alone to cover this number if they keep the turnover battle even or win it.

 

[KVB]

2. Agree with Jax St, I have them winning outright in the Forecasts

The stacking percentages Forecast has Jax St winning with 31 points to South Carolina's 21 or 20 points.

The non-predicitive public gauge has South Carolina winnin 35-17.

Sometimes my forecasts are off a bit, could be a mistake, could be an inefficiency. I don't know at this point. I do know the line has moved away from my forecast with SC becoming a little more favored, but the simple public names and conferences can lead to that kind of public early movement.

Will be interesting to see if this line comes back down towards 13 or 14 by game time.

 

[JDS]

Minnesota -1.5 -108

IMO this line is off by 2-3 points as the market has taken it down to nearly a pk. Illinois has been playing better lately but they are no where near the team they were last year. Minnesota is actually tied for 1st place in the Big 10 & are one more win away from bowl eligibility. Luke Altmyer for Illinois is a turnover machine & Minnesota has a +8 turnover advantage overall. On the road I think that ratio increases & Minnesota wins by a touchdown or more.

 

[JDS]

The stacking percentages Forecast has Jax St winning with 31 points to South Carolina's 21 or 20 points.

The non-predicitive public gauge has South Carolina winnin 35-17.

Sometimes my forecasts are off a bit, could be a mistake, could be an inefficiency. I don't know at this point. I do know the line has moved away from my forecast with SC becoming a little more favored, but the simple public names and conferences can lead to that kind of public early movement.

Will be interesting to see if this line comes back down towards 13 or 14 by game time.

Interesting stacking percentages KVB, I agree South Carolina will never sniff this cover & should be a tight one for the majority of the game.

 

[Jrgum3]

I like it JDS. I stayed off the Texas game with my own money but in the Pick 7 contest I went with Texas. I think this is a game that they should cover at home but KSU scares me so I didn't bet this one because I honestly do feel it could go either way. I did bet Oklahoma State +6 because that's a rivalry game and Oklahoma had their dreams crushed last week so I like to fade teams like that the following week. As for the other games I wish you good luck I don't have a play on any of them so no opinion to offer.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Can Rutgers shock the world?

Gonna be tough.

They can maybe cover

No shot to win outright

 

[KVB]

They can maybe cover

No shot to win outright

If they can cover, they can win....

Yeah, would definitely take a major event, in game injuries, and one sided play, etc for Rutgers to pull this off...lol.

 

[JDS]

I like it JDS. I stayed off the Texas game with my own money but in the Pick 7 contest I went with Texas. I think this is a game that they should cover at home but KSU scares me so I didn't bet this one because I honestly do feel it could go either way. I did bet Oklahoma State +6 because that's a rivalry game and Oklahoma had their dreams crushed last week so I like to fade teams like that the following week. As for the other games I wish you good luck I don't have a play on any of them so no opinion to offer.

I'm glad to know we both stand firm on Oklahoma St. +6 in this rivalry game. Quarterback Alan Bowman has played nicely the last month for Oklahoma St. & they are 4-0 his last 4 starts

 

[jjgold]

How much you putting on them?

 

[JDS]

How much you putting on them?

$500

 

[Tanko]

I like the list. We overlap on a few:

Okla St. +6
They have been playing great ball since their last loss to Iowa State 6 WEEKS AGO.
Its the bedlam game and playing at home is always a plus.

Minn -1.5
They are playing well. Sure the Iowa win was lucky but their only loss at home this year was to Mich. Illinois has 1 decent win (on road at Maryland) but that's it.

Iowa State -2.5
This team is on a roll. 4 wins in last 5 games (only loss was at Okla.). They have one of the best coaches in CFB in Matt Campbell. KU is in for a massive let down after the big win over OU and since Daniels is out, they are a good but less effective team.



GL Buddy.

 

[JDS]

I like the list. We overlap on a few:

Okla St. +6
They have been playing great ball since their last loss to Iowa State 6 WEEKS AGO.
Its the bedlam game and playing at hom is always a plus.

Minn -1.5
They are playing well. Sure the Iowa win was lucky but their only loss at home this year was to Mich. Illinois has 1 decent win (on road at Maryland) but that's it.

Iowa State -2.5
This team is on a roll. 4 wins in last 5 games (only loss was at Okla St.). They have one of the best coaches in CFB in Matt Campbell. KU is in for a massive let down after the big win over OU and since Daniels is out, they are a good but less effective team.



GL Buddy.

Thanks Tanko I hope we can both cash on these games where we share the same opinion.