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5 Leans for NFL Week 3

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Pimike

Pimike

Joined
Oct 30, 2021
Messages
9,125
So these are games i’ve been keeping a close eye on but haven’t pulled any triggers yet, will decide closer to the weekend. But here ya go….all odds via Bovada

  1. Ravens vs. Patriots
Odds: BAL -3/NE +3
I feel like this should be a very close game. The Ravens just had a tough game against the Dolphins losing 42-38; not to mention they blew a 35-14 lead and were outscored 28-3 in the fourth quarter. Meanwhile the Pats bounced back with a dub over the Steelers. I don’t hold the Patriots offense too high, but Mac Jones has showed us he can move the ball through the air and that’s not good against a weak ravens secondary. The ravens also can not run the ball - unless its Lamar. Again, should be close with ravens getting a late dub. I’m also eyeing the under if anyone has an opinion on that.

  1. Bills vs. Dolphins
Odds: BUF-6 (-105)/ MIA +6 (-115)
I’m leaning Bills with this one. Miami should be able to keep a closer game than past, plus Miami tends to play better at home. Buffalo is 7-0 su in last 7 games against miami and 4-1 ATS in last 5 games. They have not lost to Miami since 2018. Meanwhile, miami is 3-6-1 ats in last 10 games vs buffalo. Miami played a hard game against the Ravens in their 42-38 victory, but they are going to need more than what they provided during that game - they surrendered 38 pts vs the ravens. Also, the Bills have been lookin hot with two blowouts so far this season. Hill and Waddle will definitely be the Bills biggest concern, but they have enough weapons of their own to stay confident. Leaning Bills here.

  1. Texans vs. Bears
Odds: HOU +2.5 (-110)/ CHI -2.5 (-110)
Despite getting their butts owned by Rodgers and crew again, I am leaning the Bears in this one. This week, we have two below-par teams that simply can not move the ball on the ground. But i will give an edge to the Bears due to their defense. They have a strong pass defense and should be able to limit any offensive strengths the texans may have. Definitely leaning bears win and cover here.

  1. Jaguars vs. Chargers
Odds: JAX +7 (-115)/ LAC -7 (-105)
Probably one of my most confident leans here with the Chargers. The Jags are simply horrible and will be facing a well rested and talented LA team. One trend that stand out, LA has won 8 out of their last 9 games vs the Jags, but have covered the spread in all 9 of those games. My only concern is if Herbert’s ribs are going to be an issue. He hurt his ribs in their los to the Chiefs and has been day-to-day. But i also saw it was nothing serious and he should be ok come this weekend. You could argue the jags offense has been looking decent, but they have also had a much easier schedule than the Chargers. Also take note that the jags are 0-5 ats in their last 5 road games. Chargers for me here

  1. 49ers vs. Broncos
Odds: SF -1.5 (-115)/ +1.5 (-105)
Feel like i can make an argument for both sides, but i have to lean 49ers here. Broncos have Russ Wilson yes, but they do not look like a whole unit. I have more faith in the niners because they are the more “whole” team and have shown us they can move the ball when its not pouring rain out. For the broncos to win, they need to clean up their game and with time Wilson should be more comfortable with his offense. Also, i simply do not trust the broncos coach to make any smart decisions. I’m leaning niners for sure.

Fully agree with the Chargers selection.

Not the San Fran play. Wilson owns this team and knows them well. I truly believe the wrong team is the favorite.

Good luck this week!!
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,547
I think everyone was surprised by the a$$-kicking put on the chargers by Jax. Even with Hebert playing. WTH....

Any ideas on tonight's game Le?
I'm leaning Dallas teaser but still looking at the total, maybe 1H.
 

lemartinsports

Joined
Jan 4, 2022
Messages
11,848
I think everyone was surprised by the a$$-kicking put on the chargers by Jax. Even with Hebert playing. WTH....

Any ideas on tonight's game Le?
I'm leaning Dallas teaser but still looking at the total, maybe 1H.
dude right, but i'm not surprised when a guy is playing with injured rib cartilage. how bout them colts though. also super proud of the dolphins to pull out the dub. was expecting more of a bills win phins cover, but i'm happy with the outcome

as for tonights game, i'm liking dallas +1. i think their defense is good enough to put a lot of pressure on djones - they have 8 sacks in 2 games. without dak, the cowboys have seemed to be playing ok (so far). but even then, both offenses suck titties. i give an edge to the boys with their D. plus that line is moving in the right direction - opened at +4, is now at +1 (Bovada).
 
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