"Interesting" how the cashouts are now unavailable when they were atrocious when Keys was +2500 to AO prematch. The plan all along was not to cashout now but only if Keys beats Saba & Z beats Novak tonight. At that point assuming it's Sinner in the Final, I couldn't chance it despite Zverev's 4-2 H2H. If I could get at least a 25% cashout on this 1.2M payout I'll gladly take the 300k. Now if it's Shelton in the Final, I'm letting it ride. 1st things 1st, need Z tonight or none of this means anything.
However this shakes out ql, it could've ended after the Badosa loss. Was considering her instead since she was already in the SFs after beating Gauff, but reluctantly went with Keys cuz of the better price.
However this shakes out ql, it could've ended after the Badosa loss. Was considering her instead since she was already in the SFs after beating Gauff, but reluctantly went with Keys cuz of the better price.
I couldn't see Badosa beating Saba either. Just gonna be honest. This Keys win really means nothing. I had a really good feeling she'd win this & wanted to go big at +450 but considering how much I've lost (100k since last wk), I totally laid off. I'd be genuinely shocked if I get the the other 2 legs to put myself in that cashout spot. This feels more like a cocktease than the start of something life changing.
I'd imagine if Zverev makes the Finals, there would have to be a cashout purely for their own exposure risk. The odds are almost 20-1 at this point so they're probably not worried just yet to offer a cashout if it's a risk assessment decision instead of algorithm based.