2025 Tennis Picks/Conversation Year Long Thread

[samsncharge99]

Alcaraz 2-0 (-150)

shelton/zverev over 22.5 ganes (-105)

Svitolina / danilovic under 20.5 games (-114)

Alexandrova -2 games (-120)

 

[jjgold]

Sammy your in a zone since I told you to smoke weed every night before capping

 

[samsncharge99]

You finally embraced the weed and look what happened

 

[dougtushyterror]

You finally embraced the weed and look what happened

I know how astronomically unlikely this is Sammy but I'm not stopping until I get the payout to at least 3M hoping for that huge SF cashout.
DK finally cut me off this morning from adding on so I had to resort to Caesars. I had to break it up like this since their limit was $200 but this did the trick.
Risk/Payout at all 3 books

 

[samsncharge99]

luckily on that bet, the odds are so high, your risk level is low

im sure you can easily win the risk back on a huge ML to make up and break even

 

[dougtushyterror]

luckily on that bet, the odds are so high, your risk level is low

im sure you can easily win the risk back on a huge ML to make up and break even

Slightly updated: got 13 more $100 bets in at DK just now to get the combined payout to 1.9M
* as far as that goes I'm just WD all my winnings since that Flo ML win vs Aub to put into this. I was at 100k FD/210k HYSA after that & it'll remain that way until I get all these bets in. I have np essentially flushing 10k in winnings down the going for my 2nd chance at FIRE this yr. Came somewhat close with the Nuggets last, not nearly as close with Zverev at the AO & this is an exponentially longer shot. It's cool not having to work anymore, but this is the only way I'll never have to gamble again.
(2 out of the 13 just now) I'll do 7 more once this 2k WD hits my account

 

[samsncharge99]

when ostapenko is in beast mode, it lasts all week. shame on me not taking her

 

[dougtushyterror]

when ostapenko is in beast mode, it lasts all week. shame on me not taking her

I should've seen this coming as well from a mile away. Just like in Doha, beats Iga, makes the Finals where she'll no doubt lose again vs Saba like she did vs Anisimova. Didn't however expect Shelton to get his pushed in like this. No bet but Zverev dropped from -650 to -460 & I thought even that was ridiculously high.

 

[jjgold]

Sheldon is a good player, but he can’t win tournaments

 

[Brock Landers]

If sabalenka could just focus on not trying to crush every single vall, I don't know if she'd ever lose. Almost all of paolini points are from sabalenka errors

 

[jjgold]

If sabalenka could just focus on not trying to crush every single vall, I don't know if she'd ever lose. Almost all of paolini points are from sabalenka errors

Here biggest weakness

 

[Brock Landers]

Alcaraz you motherfucking scumbag

 

[jjgold]

Carlos last win of clay season

You heard it first

He plays way too many close matches, and get clipped in the rest of the tournaments

son your not even 1/10 of Nadal on clay

 

[dougtushyterror]

luckily on that bet, the odds are so high, your risk level is low

im sure you can easily win the risk back on a huge ML to make up and break even

Fons dropping from +4000 to +3000 at DK & Caesars after Alca lost. Got stuck with that price at Caesars on my last two $100 bets after getting another 5 in at +4000. Got 1 more in at FD where the line on Fons/Mirra hasn't budged since day 1
Current total:

 

[samsncharge99]

0-4 yesterday (-489)

269-240-14 on the year (+670)
223-201-10 hard court record (+539)
46-39-4 clay court record (+131)

54-44-5 Aussie open record (+417)
37-42 Indian Wells record (-1075)
34-28-1 Miami Open record (+242)
15-3 run 2/09-2/12 (+1193)

 

[Brock Landers]

Sabalenka got rolled by ostapenko, the most unpredictable player on tour

 

[samsncharge99]

and watch her lose R2 Madrid this week

Ostapenko in same quarter as Iga as well

 

[jjgold]

Fuk tennis

 

[samsncharge99]

combined masters 1000 next 2 weeks. Will likely make bets in a few days.

 

[lapenti]

Alcaraz you motherfucking scumbag

Only bet what you can afford to lose