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2025 Tennis Picks/Conversation Year Long Thread

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samsncharge99

samsncharge99

Joined
Sep 30, 2022
Messages
12,209
it;s well documented I love Sabalenka to win. HOWEVER...value wise I'm not laying -385 ML even though for me it's the smart play.

So if I am looking at spreads/totals and set betting.

Sabalenka -1.5 sets (-135)

The OU is based on it going 3 or 2 long sets same with spread. Spread is +4.5 but a 6-4 6-3 set covers that.

I want this to go 3. I am rooting for Keys for dougie and for the sport. Keys is american. She is a journeyman of the sport...on tour 10+ years. This likely will be her last chance ever to win a major. I am such a fan of the sport, I would likely tear up a little bit when she celebrates wining. Hell I probably will if Sabby wins.

But this is what I will be betting and let's see what happens. Sabalenka in 5 straight hard court grand slams. Winner of 2 straight in Australia, 20 straight match wins. She is the better player and Keys coming off 2 tough 3 set battles including 10-8 super tiebreaker against world #2.

2 of the heaviest hitters on the woman's side.
 
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