it;s well documented I love Sabalenka to win. HOWEVER...value wise I'm not laying -385 ML even though for me it's the smart play.
So if I am looking at spreads/totals and set betting.
Sabalenka -1.5 sets (-135)
The OU is based on it going 3 or 2 long sets same with spread. Spread is +4.5 but a 6-4 6-3 set covers that.
I want this to go 3. I am rooting for Keys for dougie and for the sport. Keys is american. She is a journeyman of the sport...on tour 10+ years. This likely will be her last chance ever to win a major. I am such a fan of the sport, I would likely tear up a little bit when she celebrates wining. Hell I probably will if Sabby wins.
But this is what I will be betting and let's see what happens. Sabalenka in 5 straight hard court grand slams. Winner of 2 straight in Australia, 20 straight match wins. She is the better player and Keys coming off 2 tough 3 set battles including 10-8 super tiebreaker against world #2.
2 of the heaviest hitters on the woman's side.