2 down 4 to go to win $2.6M

[BigJay]

Once I cashout the bets are over. Basically a version of Deal or No Deal with Howie Mandel. Do I take the guaranteed smaller amount now or at any point or go for the combined payout so it's either 2.65M or 0.

Dougy do you think the cash out amounts will increase quite a bit if Denver and Boston advance to the conference finals?

 

[dougtushyterror]

Dougy do you think the cash out amounts will increase quite a bit if Denver and Boston advance to the conference finals?

I'm guessing at least a 50k increase after each round Jay. It would most likely hit 400k in late May if that happens & Iga/Alca are in the 3R at that point since the French starts May 26 & ends June 9.

 

[BigJay]

I'm guessing at least a 50k increase after each round Jay. It would most likely hit 400k in late May if that happens & Iga/Alca are in the 3R at that point since the French starts May 26 & ends June 9.

Not to slow your roll or anything and you know I always root like hell for you but since you’re mentioning cash outs, it would be hard for me not to cash out at that point (around the 400k mark you mentioned).

I think the likelihood that scenario happens is high.

 

[dougtushyterror]

Not to slow your roll or anything and you know I always root like hell for you but since you’re mentioning cash outs, it would be hard for me not to cash out at that point (around the 400k mark you mentioned).

I think the likelihood that scenario happens is high.

As tempting as that would be, after truly experiencing nothing but gambling misery since 1998, this is the only legitimate shot I'll ever have to achieve FIRE & never have to work again. 400k doesn't get that done..the magic # is 2.5M so I'm just gonna pretend any cashout amount is an imaginary # only unless the injury gods aren't on my side.

 

[samsncharge99]

Alcaraz withdraws from Barcelona. French Open 5 weeks away and alcaraz withdrew from 2 big events in back to back weeks missing masters 1000 and 500 level tournament

Ughhhh

 

[BigJay]

Nuggets really screwed up blowing the 20-point lead to the Spurs after their big win over the Timberwolves.

Losing the number one seed makes their path to the finals tougher for sure unfortunately.

Dis it change the c/o much?

 

[dougtushyterror]

Alcaraz withdraws from Barcelona. French Open 5 weeks away and alcaraz withdrew from 2 big events in back to back weeks missing masters 1000 and 500 level tournament

Ughhhh

Crazy thing is the COs have gone up with DEN blowing the #1 seed & now this (even higher than 91k now (~95k). I'm at the point where I have to consider it cuz as soon as the books adjust the price on Alca to around +200 it's gonna go down a lot.

 

[dougtushyterror]

Nuggets really screwed up blowing the 20-point lead to the Spurs after their big win over the Timberwolves.

Losing the number one seed makes their path to the finals tougher for sure unfortunately.

Dis it change the c/o much?

Actually went up 20k..~95K

DK pretty much the same
FD biggest bump

 

[dougtushyterror]

Nuggets really screwed up blowing the 20-point lead to the Spurs after their big win over the Timberwolves.

Losing the number one seed makes their path to the finals tougher for sure unfortunately.

Dis it change the c/o much?

This is boosting the CO but it makes no sense..DEN & Alca odds keep dropping..there has to be a market correction eventually

 

[jjgold]

Doug when you win love to see you get a mink coat walking down street

 

[samsncharge99]

I dont think he will but if alcaraz straight up drops out of french open is it a void since he never participated?

 

[BigJay]

it makes no sense…there has to be a market correction eventually

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[BigJay]

Actually went up 20k..~95K

DK pretty much the same
FD biggest bump

View attachment 32337

Damn man. 95k would be tempting as hell

 

[Ace7550]

I dont think he will but if alcaraz straight up drops out of french open is it a void since he never participated?

Good question. The fair thing would be to remove it from the ticket. Not void the entire parlay.
Better make sure you know the rules for this circumstance Dougy.

 

[dougtushyterror]

Damn man. 95k would be tempting as hell

It is but here's the dilemma..95k + whatever I have now (40K @FD, 42K in the ) isn't gonna change my life any. I'll never have a more realistic chance of winning 2.6M than this, basically needing 4 favs to do their job (considering I'm risking ~47k). I'm willing to be as patient as possible before biting the bullet & cashing if either DEN/Alca eventually force my hand.

 

[dougtushyterror]

I dont think he will but if alcaraz straight up drops out of french open is it a void since he never participated?

Good question. The fair thing would be to remove it from the ticket. Not void the entire parlay.
Better make sure you know the rules for this circumstance Dougy.

Made sure to find out from both. Void so the payout would still at least be over 1M..but you know he'll give it a go even if he's not fully healthy just to WD prior to the 3R or something.

 

[samsncharge99]

Made sure to find out from both. Void so the payout would still at least be over 1M..but you know he'll give it a go even if he's not fully healthy just to WD prior to the 3R or something.

View attachment 32339

That would be worse case. Or he isnt fit enough for 3/5 in later rounds

 

[tank28]

I dont think he will but if alcaraz straight up drops out of french open is it a void since he never participated?

This is 100% how it should be treated. Problem is, he's probably going to play: it's a long tournament, I'll feel better after a couple of easy wins, I'll tough it out etc.

 

[JDS]

It is but here's the dilemma..95k + whatever I have now (40K @FD, 42K in the ) isn't gonna change my life any. I'll never have a more realistic chance of winning 2.6M than this, basically needing 4 favs to do their job (considering I'm risking ~47k). I'm willing to be as patient as possible before biting the bullet & cashing if either DEN/Alca eventually force my hand.

I like it, Dougy always has a perspective and a plan

 

[BobbyFK]

Any state that has a "Stand your ground" law so Kentucky would be an option but more likely Arizona, Florida or Texas.

View attachment 32045

For me Florida Texas and Nevada are pretty attractive due to the fact that there's no state income tax. Not sure if it affects you much