🏈📢Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl *PRE-GAME/IN-GAME CHAT & DISCUSSiON*📢🏈

[Wagerallsports]

Thought we'd go ahead & get this thread up & running to give us plenty of time to discuss

Philadelphia is currently at -1.5 and the total 50.5

Will we see it go to 2.5 before game time?

Will the total rise or fall?

 

[Wagerallsports]

Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles​

The Chiefs are 13-6 (.684) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .295.

The Chiefs are 4-3 (.571) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .222.

The Chiefs are 7-2 (.778) when rushing less than 25 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .321.

The Chiefs are undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .611.

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs​

The Eagles are undefeated (5-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .411.

The Eagles are winless (0-1) when underdogs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .339.

The Eagles are 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .550.

The Eagles are winless (0-1) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .352.

Additional Matchup Notes for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles​

The Eagles have scored 4.8 points per Red Zone drive this season — second-best in NFL.

The Chiefs have allowed 4.6 points per Red Zone drive this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have scored 40 TDs in the red zone this season — tied for third-most in NFL.

The Chiefs have allowed 37 TDs when defending in the red zone this season — tied for third-most in NFL.

The Eagles have a third down conversion rate of 48.4% in the fourth quarter this season — second-best in NFL.

The Chiefs defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 46.3% in the 4th quarter this season — fourth-worst in NFL.



Chiefs TEs had 37 receptions in 4 games (9.2 per game) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL.

The Eagles allowed 6.2 receptions per game to TEs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

Chiefs TEs averaged 11.0 targets per game in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-highest in NFL.

The Eagles allowed 6.2 receptions per game to TEs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

The Chiefs had an average drive start position from the 32.4 yard line in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-best in NFL.

The Eagles allowed an average drive start position from the 33.8 yard line in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Chiefs​

• Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 53% ROI)
• Patrick Mahomes has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
• Isiah Pacheco has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 73% ROI)
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 56% ROI)
• Mecole Hardman has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 95% ROI)

Eagles​

• DeVonta Smith has hit the Receptions Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 59% ROI)
• Miles Sanders has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 43% ROI)
• A.J. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.10 Units / 26% ROI)
• Dallas Goedert has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 33% ROI)
• Jalen Hurts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.60 Units / 55% ROI)

 

[refugee]

Over. 28-24 or 27-24 sounds about right.

 

[Archie]

anyone know where a very knowledgeable former NFL O line men or football focus type site does breakdowns on like O line position by position with D lines? I'd love to know what really knowledgable x and o guys think KC will do to try to stymie that amazing pass rush

will Mahomes be good enough after two weeks and all taped up to do a lot of roll outs

do we like the over on mahomes yards rushing?

 

[Wagerallsports]

anyone know where a very knowledgeable former NFL O line men or football focus type site does breakdowns on like O line position by position with D lines? I'd love to know what really knowledgable x and o guys think KC will do to try to stymie that amazing pass rush

will Mahomes be good enough after two weeks and all taped up to do a lot of roll outs

do we like the over on mahomes yards rushing?

Did you see this stat arch?

The Eagles are undefeated (5-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .411.

 

[Tanko]

Eagles -1.5

 

[Archie]

Did you see this stat arch?

The Eagles are undefeated (5-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .411.

what do you make of that?

I dont' get much from it. small sample ect it's the kind of trend with little predictive correlative value imo unless i'm missing something

what about eagles are 16-1 when hurts starts at QB?

 

[flyingillini]

No idea, I will be live betting it

 

[carolinakid]

this is one yr when im out at events nobody talking about this yr game

 

[JDS]

Zero opinion on this game right now. Might not even have a single wager on this game. Game too tight. I can make a case for both squads and I will not allow Patrick Mahomes take anymore of my money this year lol. Man that guy is good.

 

[JDS]

Might bet it live if I get a good feel for the direction the game might take.

 

[carolinakid]

i live in a college sports state too here and most people could give a rat ass who wins this game they just want to get together and drink and eat

 

[Franz555]

The way Philly's Offensive line pushed both NY Giants and San Fran's D line around , i see Philly running the ball against KC fairly easily. I think they win it in trenches on both sides of the ball.
Philly - 2.5 looks solid.


Just my 2 cents

 

[Wagerallsports]

what do you make of that?

I dont' get much from it. small sample ect it's the kind of trend with little predictive correlative value imo unless i'm missing something

what about eagles are 16-1 when hurts starts at QB?

You were talking about the Eagles getting to Mahomes

I just posted that because apparently Philly has been winning even when they don't get to the QB

 

[Tanko]

I know Mahomes is the 2nd coming of Jesus to many people but, Philly is clearly the better team in this game. Better D-line, better secondardy, better WRs, better running game.

KC has the edge on QB, TE, headcoach.

Eagles will win this game.

 

[Wagerallsports]

I know Mahomes is the 2nd coming of Jesus to many people but, Philly is clearly the better team in this game. Better D-line, better secondardy, better WRs, better running game.

KC has the edge on QB, TE, headcoach.

Eagles will win this game.

If so, Mahomes drops to 1-2 in Super Bowls

 

[Tanko]

If so, Mahomes drops to 1-2 in Super Bowls

IDK. Andy Reid is a damn magician.
He may come up with some stuff that makes the difference. On paper, I just see Eagle cover the -1.5 I got last week.

 

[jjgold]

There’s no angles or edges you can bet $1 million if you want on either side

 

[Franz555]

There’s no angles or edges you can bet $1 million if you want on either side

True. Just a bunch of opinions for either side

Still , the debating helps to fill the 2 week gap