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The closer you bet to game time the more you have no chance

Reload

Reload

Joined
Nov 9, 2021
Messages
816
Always lots of talk in how the “betting market” efficiency closer to game time makes it tougher to beat. I don’t always agree with that though. Sometimes you are waiting for that extra bit of movement to fire.

If a line is already worse for you than where it was 1-2 days earlier, then you’ve definitely lost value and should pass.
 

jamesy2422

jamesy2422

Joined
Jun 1, 2025
Messages
2,554
this only works if the line will move against you. there is value in waiting if you are not on the steam side.

…no chance in getting screwed over by late injury decisions or unforeseen surprises.

:lmao:
this especially. the other night wemby was out after i bet. lucky they still covered.
 

jamesy2422

jamesy2422

Joined
Jun 1, 2025
Messages
2,554
I had over 49 on the Dallas game. Of course these fawkers decided lets do everything possible to not score another point at the end of the game. These prime time games are just killing me lately lol.
the prime time games can be pretty sharp sometimes. a lot thought the raiders would at least reach 20 too.
 
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