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Don't Be Stupid

justlooking

justlooking

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Apr 9, 2022
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206
I just woke up to another weekend of dogs winning SU in NFL. It was bad last week and it's the same this week.

Giants up 17-7
Dolphins up 16-0
Patriots up 21-10
Saints up 10-7
Jaguars up 20-10 (They were the favorite so maybe this isn't an upset but the odd did bounce back and forth from what I saw yesterday).

How in the world is Buffalo losing 0-16 against Miami when they NEVER lose against them?

I was going to bet $5K to win $1K on Buffalo ML and I suppose they could still come back and win but man I would freaking hate to death sweating this stupid game.
 

justlooking

justlooking

Joined
Apr 9, 2022
Messages
206
I just woke up to another weekend of dogs winning SU in NFL. It was bad last week and it's the same this week.

Giants up 17-7
Dolphins up 16-0
Patriots up 21-10
Saints up 10-7
Jaguars up 20-10 (They were the favorite so maybe this isn't an upset but the odd did bounce back and forth from what I saw yesterday).

How in the world is Buffalo losing 0-16 against Miami when they NEVER lose against them?

I was going to bet $5K to win $1K on Buffalo ML and I suppose they could still come back and win but man I would freaking hate to death sweating this stupid game.
So freaking crazy stupid.

Now even the Jets are winning 24-17. If the games end up where they are now, the public is getting hosed really bad unless they bet the dogs.
 
Last edited:

justlooking

justlooking

Joined
Apr 9, 2022
Messages
206
Okay, I believe you so I will take a shot and bet on the Eagles.

All I ask is that I don't end up sweating the game. Hopefully, the Eagles jump ahead from the beginning and lead wire to wire and win the game.
I'm seeing anywhere from 76% to 88% bets on the Eagles.

Should I be concerned? I just don't like betting the same side as the majority of the bets.
 

justlooking

justlooking

Joined
Apr 9, 2022
Messages
206
So freaking crazy stupid.

Now even the Jets are winning 24-17. If the games end up where they are now, the public is getting hosed really bad unless they bet the dogs.
After seeing how 5 dogs won SU in the early games, my head said to take shot at all ML parlay for the 4 PM games.

Three games are trending to be blow outs for the favorites. It would have been worth a shot and I feel stupid not listening to my head.

Now I'm beginning to wonder if I should even bet the Eagles.
 

europro

europro

Joined
Mar 28, 2025
Messages
3,775
I just woke up to another weekend of dogs winning SU in NFL. It was bad last week and it's the same this week.

Giants up 17-7
Dolphins up 16-0
Patriots up 21-10
Saints up 10-7
Jaguars up 20-10 (They were the favorite so maybe this isn't an upset but the odd did bounce back and forth from what I saw yesterday).

How in the world is Buffalo losing 0-16 against Miami when they NEVER lose against them?

I was going to bet $5K to win $1K on Buffalo ML and I suppose they could still come back and win but man I would freaking hate to death sweating this stupid game.
dont u dare think about doing that in the nfl 5k to win 1k yikers
 

justlooking

justlooking

Joined
Apr 9, 2022
Messages
206
dont u dare think about doing that in the nfl 5k to win 1k yikers
Why not? Money is money no matter how little they may be.

I haven't lost any of these yet this year and I don't intend to until maybe next year.

I was 99% sure that Baltimore would win but couldn't pull the trigger. 5K bet would have netted about $2,200. I was also 99% sure about the Rams but didn't pull the trigger on that either which really sucks. If anything I should have parlayed Baltimore, Detroit, and Rams moneylines, and I wouldn't have sweated at all.

What's surprising is that I didn't even think about betting Buffalo ML which should have been the easiest of all. That stupid team lost SU and it's on idiot McDermott. He has to go if they are going to win anything that matters. What's the point of beating KC during the regular season if you are going lose to them every playoff for the last 4 years and soon to be the 5th year?
 

europro

europro

Joined
Mar 28, 2025
Messages
3,775
Why not? Money is money no matter how little they may be.

I haven't lost any of these yet this year and I don't intend to until maybe next year.

I was 99% sure that Baltimore would win but couldn't pull the trigger. 5K bet would have netted about $2,200. I was also 99% sure about the Rams but didn't pull the trigger on that either which really sucks. If anything I should have parlayed Baltimore, Detroit, and Rams moneylines, and I wouldn't have sweated at all.
weve all been there. just not worth it. betting nfl sides impossible but good luck
only beatable are props
 

justlooking

justlooking

Joined
Apr 9, 2022
Messages
206
weve all been there. just not worth it. betting nfl sides impossible but good luck
only beatable are props
Thanks.

I never bet props and probably never will. Same with Over and Under.

Mostly bet ML's and parlays of them and sometimes dogs if they could win SU like the Eagles vs the Packers.

I initially liked the Eagles a lot until I saw that the public is all over them. So, I may end up not betting them. Good luck to Philly though.

I probably go to PARX tomorrow and play some Tiles and if more people start betting the Packers, I might bet the Eagles.
 

justlooking

justlooking

Joined
Apr 9, 2022
Messages
206
It looks like I will be betting the Chargers ML. It's a bargain at only -170.
LOL

I just saw something that tells me the Chargers has a really good chance of winning SU.

It's called the reverse transitive property bet in football.

Transitive property says that if A > B and B > C, the A must be > C.

But in football, the opposite occurs.

Pittsburgh beat Indy 27-20. LAC lost to Indy 24-38. So, the transitive propery would dictate that Pittsburgh beats LAC. But since it's the opposite that holds true, it's LAC who beats Pittsburgh.
 
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JDS

JDS

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LOL

I just saw something that tells me the Chargers has a really good chance of winning SU.

It's called the reverse transitive property bet in football.

Transitive property says that if A > B and B > C, the A must be > C.

But in football, the opposite occurs.

Pittsburgh beat Indy 27-20. LAC lost to Indy 24-38. So, the transitive propery would dictate that Pittsburgh beats LAC. But since it's the opposite that holds true, it's LAC who beats Pittsburgh.
Transvestite angle f*** yeah !!!! LFG 🤘
 

justlooking

justlooking

Joined
Apr 9, 2022
Messages
206
So freaking glad that I am not on the Steelers. That McConkey catch dashed all hopes of Pittsburgh covering.

This was a no sweat bet on the Chargers ML; the best kind.

But then seeing how the Texans came back from 19 down in the 4th quarter to win the game, who the hell knows.
 

justlooking

justlooking

Joined
Apr 9, 2022
Messages
206
I don't understand why books do this offering HUGE plus money on the team that's losing badly but nothing on the winning team, but it did happen with the Texans today. It would have been crazy good if you took the Texans ML at the beginning of 4th quarter.

Same thing with Denver Broncos vs NY Giants. At 180X, you just need to get one right out of 180 tries to make money.

1762747937246.png
 

maltedhopsfrenzy

maltedhopsfrenzy

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
6,913
Tomlin must be senile like Dan Quinn.

He is going to get Rodgers killed by leaving him in there when they have 0.000000001% shot of winning the game.

👍🍺

Add that to this forum:

 

justlooking

justlooking

Joined
Apr 9, 2022
Messages
206
Philly, are you sure you don't want to change your mind on the Eagles?

PARX and BetRivers both flipped to Eagles being favored by -1.

I've seen it too many times when a home team is favored initially and the line crosses over to the away team because of whatever the reason (in today's game, too much money on the Eagles) and the home team wins SU. Just for thought.
 
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