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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
17,277
Whats ur current/ prev. win % @ ~110 or w/e. ?

Season just started. UPSET basket, moneylines, -1.42 units so far in two weeks, Visiting Dog Fund, the spreads, +.86 last week, the only week.

R u trying to long-term RIO squeeze with Edge to bookie prices vs projections ?

OR

R u going for str8 up high win.prob % ?

Both, in a couple of ways. UPSET Basket and Visiting Dog Fund are long term, but may, and only may, help us determine some market reads, a third type of strategy I may post.

The market reads are patient plays, had two last week. Utah to crush UCLA last Saturday (not posted), and then Miami to beat Notre Dame on Sunday, which was posted. Swingt games at night and on the weekend that followed the money.

Might not make another one of those until the holidays and bowl games, lol.

The other way to go for higher probability is to buy in and out of the UPSET Basket. Something we'll look at.

PS: Whats ur take on Dimers.com ?

Not sure, never really looked. I see they are cappers.

When it comes down to it, cappers can be hot and cold, and maybe you can ride some waves. Add a little sharp trading and line shopping, and you may do well.

But in the end, capping the capper is needed. Things like a z-score, avg line error, etc could work.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
17,277
F#CKIN’ LIONS!
F#CK IT!

Bills & over 47.5 for +230…..

Get some ‘Eye Candy’ crew!!!!!

dwayne-johnson-clapping.gif
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
17,277
The KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket has picked up...

Rot#NCAAF UPSET Basket
107COLORADO +188
109K STATE -103
153FAU +125
155APP ST -102
163JAX ST +151
183DUKE +125

This Fund was -.05 units in week 1, all unposted, and was -1.42 units last week for a total of -1.47 units.

This Fund is 7-4-2 vs the closing line and has beaten the closing line by .07 cents over 13 plays...


2025DateNCAAF UPSET Basket1 UnitClosingBeatBTC ML
per betLineCloser?Average
1878/30TEXAS +110 (NOT……….-1110PUSH0
193.UTEP +153 ………-1165N-0.12
199.GA SOUTH +113 ……...-1102Y0.11
219.LSU +165 .………1.65183N-0.18
221.CAL +130 ...POSTED)1.3-137Y0.67
3219/3Virginia +130-1126Y0.04
329.Iowa +153-1140Y0.13
333.Baylor +1251.25139N-0.14
349.Fresno +1251.25101Y0.24
387.Vandy +1081.08108PUSH0
391.BC +165-1147Y0.18
399.MICH +165-1157Y0.08
411.SDSU +102-1110N-0.08
..
..Total-1.47.7-4-20.071538


bikini.gif
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
55,593
The KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket has picked up...

Rot#NCAAF UPSET Basket
107COLORADO +188
109K STATE -103
153FAU +125
155APP ST -102
163JAX ST +151
183DUKE +125

This Fund was -.05 units in week 1, all unposted, and was -1.42 units last week for a total of -1.47 units.

This Fund is 7-4-2 vs the closing line and has beaten the closing line by .07 cents over 13 plays...


2025DateNCAAF UPSET Basket1 UnitClosingBeatBTC ML
per betLineCloser?Average
1878/30TEXAS +110 (NOT……….-1110PUSH0
193.UTEP +153 ………-1165N-0.12
199.GA SOUTH +113 ……...-1102Y0.11
219.LSU +165 .………1.65183N-0.18
221.CAL +130 ...POSTED)1.3-137Y0.67
3219/3Virginia +130-1126Y0.04
329.Iowa +153-1140Y0.13
333.Baylor +1251.25139N-0.14
349.Fresno +1251.25101Y0.24
387.Vandy +1081.08108PUSH0
391.BC +165-1147Y0.18
399.MICH +165-1157Y0.08
411.SDSU +102-1110N-0.08
..
..Total-1.47.7-4-20.071538


bikini.gif
I have App St. and Jacksonville St. on my short list as well. (y)(y)(y)

Also, I like Florida to cover vs LSU.
 
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