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Solid seasonal indicator to take the Reds plus money today !

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
55,017
I would call this IMO a +EV type bet don’t care if you disagree I’m not here to debate it with you. We all have our own version of +EV. Ohtani is being priced like he’s a true starter & this not some kind of glorified bullpen game for the Dodgers, besides his performance this year has been “mid” at best.

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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
55,017
+9 units in your thread, so clearly knows what he is doing
Been very stagnant around that number for more than a week now, but staying hopeful because no bad losing streaks since the 1st week.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
55,017
Should I put the $3500 on it. Lol
No fuckin’ way Sunny, normal unit size. I don’t think like that as a gambler. I’m in this for the long haul one 1-2 units at a time MAX. I graduated from that amateur perspective finally, but it cost me 10’s of thousands of dollars last year.
 

BigJay

BigJay

Joined
Oct 28, 2021
Messages
20,944
I would call this IMO a +EV type bet don’t care if you disagree I’m not here to debate it with you. We all have our own version of +EV. Ohtani is being priced like he’s a true starter & this not some kind of glorified bullpen game for the Dodgers, besides his performance this year has been “mid” at best.

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Wow good find
 
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Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
7,175
Positive expected value. I make this bet 100 times and I expect to be plus money Jakery.
Yes you always want to place EV+ wagers. This is the definition of a good bet. It may not always win but in the long run if you're placing EV+ bets you'll come out ahead versus placing negative EV bets which are defined as bad bets that lose you money in the long run.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
55,017
Yes you always want to place EV+ wagers. This is the definition of a good bet. It may not always win but in the long run if you're placing EV+ bets you'll come out ahead versus placing negative EV bets which are defined as bad bets that lose you money in the long run.
@gauchojake was mocking me, but it’s ok though. I’m not confused on the terminology, although I have referenced it in regards to my bottom line as a sports bettor meaning lifetime I’m in the positive, because I make those type of bets.
 

Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
7,175
@gauchojake was mocking me, but it’s ok though. I’m not confused on the terminology, although I have referenced it in regards to my bottom line as a sports bettor meaning lifetime I’m in the positive, because I make those type of bets.
Oh well I'm on it too and I made it my best bet today since it's +170 and I feel the line is too wide as well.
 
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