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1000th Post - A Play for Tonight

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
60,054
Virginia -2 -105 1st half.
Virg does well against opponents that are in St. Bonnie's class and they usually have pretty good 1st half starts.
St. Bonnie on the other hand, has started out slow when playing opponents at or better than Virginia's level.


I'm also leaning towards Virg ML for the game. The -3.5-110 is tempting but its equivalent to a breakeven percentage of 65% whereas the ML for the game is -165 has breakeven percentage of 62%. I'll take the extra edge I'm able to obtain with the ML.
 

mikesmith99

mikesmith99

Joined
Jan 8, 2022
Messages
2,908
Virginia -2 -105 1st half.
Virg does well against opponents that are in St. Bonnie's class and they usually have pretty good 1st half starts.
St. Bonnie on the other hand, has started out slow when playing opponents at or better than Virginia's level.


I'm also leaning towards Virg ML for the game. The -3.5-110 is tempting but its equivalent to a breakeven percentage of 65% whereas the ML for the game is -165 has breakeven percentage of 62%. I'll take the extra edge I'm able to obtain with the ML.
Congrats Tanko, can't tail but rooting for you my man!!! Congrats on the milestone!!! To another 1000 more!!!
 

mikesmith99

mikesmith99

Joined
Jan 8, 2022
Messages
2,908
Fortunately, the Midd Tenn and Vandy plays helped offset the disaster that was Virginia last night.
We'll get it back tonight!

I like BYU but hate that the public is all over it

Also leaning Wake Forest and Youngstown but feeling more of an NBA night

Plus saw a new NHL props article on BMR's site so I might dab into some ice action tonight
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
60,054
We'll get it back tonight!

I like BYU but hate that the public is all over it

Also leaning Wake Forest and Youngstown but feeling more of an NBA night

Plus saw a new NHL props article on BMR's site so I might dab into some ice action tonight
Mike, Tell me why your are leaning Youngstown tonight?
I can't get a good read on that game.
 
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