How is Kentucky only favored by 1’ over Clemson tonight

[djefferis]

#4 ranked Kentucky on the road at unranked Clemson and only have to lay -130 on the far superior talent ?

This has to be the biggest trap offered yet by the books - right ?

I get ranked road team vs unranked opponents have been traditionally prone to upset - but this has to be an attempt to grab back every dollar the squares took from bookies on Saturday and then some.

I haven’t looked yet - but imagine the public is 90+ percent on Kentucky here. Staying FAR away I think.

 

[jjgold]

Typical college basketball trap there’s at least five of these games a week

 

[fiftycint]

And why is Duquesne only 4.5 over st. petes? Insanity in these early season numbers thats for sure

 

[djefferis]

Duquesne has won a single game.

Granted St Pete’s is hardly a heavyweight- but did cover in their loss to Rutgers only losing by 10 on the road and guaranteed Rutgers has more talent than the boys from Pittsburgh do.

I’m going to look into this one a little deeper - but agree only 4’ looks low - Duquesne clearly the better team and at home.

 

[jjgold]

I always end up taking the trap say Kentucky and get buried

 

[Jrgum3]

They're not bigger favorites because Clemson is tough at home and this is Kentucky's first road test. Yes they beat Duke but that was a neutral site and since then they haven't played anybody. As a Cats fan I hope they win tonight but it's not going to be easy because Clemson is actually solid and they play better at home.

 

[KVB]

Line has come down from a 2 to 2.5 favorite. This movement eased some of the Contrarian Fund pressure I see here and even with the movement, Clemson is still lighting up the contrarian radar.

 

[TysonsBadAss]

#4 ranked Kentucky on the road at unranked Clemson and only have to lay -130 on the far superior talent ?

This has to be the biggest trap offered yet by the books - right ?

I get ranked road team vs unranked opponents have been traditionally prone to upset - but this has to be an attempt to grab back every dollar the squares took from bookies on Saturday and then some.

I haven’t looked yet - but imagine the public is 90+ percent on Kentucky here. Staying FAR away I think.

Now I’m questioning myself. I played Clemson

 

[Jrgum3]

Line has come down from a 2 to 2.5 favorite. This movement eased some of the Contrarian Fund pressure I see here and even with the movement, Clemson is still lighting up the contrarian radar.

I don't see how Clemson can be contrarian when most of the sharp players are on them today. Most of the action is public action on Kentucky it seems but the sharps are on Clemson.

 

[jjgold]

College home chords are very, very tough

 

[KVB]

I don't see how Clemson can be contrarian when most of the sharp players are on them today. Most of the action is public action on Kentucky it seems but the sharps are on Clemson.

These, along with many other reasons, are precisely why Clemson lights up as a contrarian play.

 

[KVB]

I don't see how Clemson can be contrarian when most of the sharp players are on them today. Most of the action is public action on Kentucky it seems but the sharps are on Clemson.

These, along with many other reasons, are precisely why Clemson lights up as a contrarian play.

This game, from that market perspective, is in a couple ways similar to N'Western at Iowa, except that the latter has a more meaningful moneyline.

In that one, I've already triggered Northwestern +5.5 in a couple of Funds, including the Contrarian strategy.

It can be the case, at least in my contrarian market metrics and the ones that make up the Contrarian Fund, that us market moving sharps can be on the Contrarian side. Shit, it's also the case that us market moving sharps aren't always on the same side. It's about the number, and the number can move and the market can be manipulated.

Just splitting "sharps" vs "public" can be too simplistic.

 

[djefferis]

Looking ahead - Kansas at Creighton tomorrow presents similarly.

Currently Kansas -3’

Got to think this going to bring in one sided action - but be a 50/50 game.

 

[jjgold]

Watching now

going by the pace of the game, it should be a close game

 

[KVB]

Clemson lights up as a contrarian play.

Northwestern +5.5 in a couple of Funds

 

[Pimike]

Good luck KVB

 

[jjgold]

College Hoops= ANY HOME TEAM DANGEROUS