hmm.. come to think of it. I need input from u guys.. cuz my gut says, its true.
especially,
@KVB Is it true that the probable winning side can be determined in MLB simply by assessing the price alone ?
as an extreme example. say Tampa bay goes on a 20-0 run at home.
then one day, faces a pitches with a 5.00 + ERA . 1.50+ WHIP,
but TB ML is -120 only .
thats a clear cut reason, to blindly take the other side no ?
There actually might be more pressure on Balty today than you give credit for, then again you might be giving credit as you see the low line.
Truth is, though, from my end is that I have Baltimore winning this game and I feel the wrong team is favored here. I figure a no vig line to work with here of -112.83/+112.83 (as if the decimals matter, lol) with Balty favored.
The market might appear to be expecting and building public action in on TB here, even with my numbers, but there will be sharp money on Balty too.
This game definitely opened higher and has moved towards my line.
So, the market might be showing you a reason to take Balty, it has been showing us since the open, but the number matters as far a smarket movers go. We may be getting to a point where the Balty side of sharp money has led the market and it's getting stopped at these levels.
Not sure Balty can become the fave here, as TB as a dog would attract a lot of attention. Who knows, maybe the market can absorb it at this point.
There is lot of trading left in this game.
Pinny is currently dealing -112/+103, TB favored, which is a current no vig line of -107.25/+107.25.
I wouldn't worry too much about the decimals there, lol.
