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N. Texas at Okla St. NIT Tuesday Night - Thoughts

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
55,928
This line is at Okla St. -5. That seems a little high IMO. I know Okla St is at home but N. Texas isn't bad on the road. This line should be closer to 2 or 3.

Okla St. is 2-8 ATS in last 10.
N. Texas is 7-3 ATS in last 10.

The line opened at +6 and moved down to +5. N. Texas plays the slowest tempo in NCAA. 59 possessions per game vs NCAA avg of 67. Okla St. is at 68. N. Texas slows games down which is always an advantage for dogs to keep the score close.

I think there is opportunity here for N. Texas.
 

rdalert447

rdalert447

Joined
Jun 5, 2022
Messages
4,005
I’ve been high on N Texas for the last two years. They go on some UNBEARABLE scoring droughts, but they are tough. I thought they were better than FAU, but another drought filled performance did them in during the conference tournament. Not for the impatient bettor.
That being said, I’m on them tonight small at +180.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
55,928
Probably under
Could be under. The total has been steady at 123.5 since open.

Tough call to make on the total. When Okla St. has played slow tempo teams (Okla 2X and ISU) in the past month, they've been under, at ~123, and over).

Similarly, N. Texas recently been over this total 3X and under 3X in the 6 games when playing a higher tempo team around 68 like Okla St.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
55,522
I like to see this, the board didn’t get buried 👍
 
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