March Madness ATS Records History For Seeds #1 - #16

[Wagerallsports]

March Madness ATS Records: Each Seed’s Betting History Against the Spread​

Andrew Doughty
3/10/23

There wasn’t an 11-seed in the Final Four of the 2022 NCAA Tournament – after two 11-seeds had reached the national semifinals in the last three tournaments – but 11-seeds went 6-3 against the spread to continue recent dominance in March Madness betting.

Despite a sub-.500 ATS record from 2005-10 (17-19-1), 11-seeds have the best NCAA Tournament ATS record among all seeds since 2005. At 74-52-2, they’ve covered nearly 60 percent of spreads over the last 17 tournaments.

Here’s the ATS record for each seed since the 2005 NCAA Tournament (not including First Four games):

SEED	ATS RECORD	ATS WIN PCT.
1	142-138-4	.507
2	96-115-9	.455
3	96-96-3	.500
4	81-88-3	.479
5	69-71-2	.493
6	55-63-3	.457
7	71-60-3	.542
8	57-55-5	.509
9	53-51-5	.510
10	50-53-2	.485
11	74-52-2	.587
12	58-45-2	.563
13	40-45-1	.471
14	31-46	.403
15	41-34-3	.547
16	34-34-1	.500

 

[Wagerallsports]

Anyone remember the old #11 and #12 rule of thumb?

Used to be you bet ML on all #12 and you'd usually come out ahead

 

[Tanko]

I've been told the biggest upsets for making ML $ now come from #11/#6 matchups.

 

[Wagerallsports]

I've been told the biggest upsets for making ML $ now come from #11/#6 matchups.

According to those numbers above you are correct

 

[Tanko]

According to those numbers above you are correct

yep. The ML info I've seen matches up with the ATS numbers well.

 

[Pimike]

This year is a different animal

 

[Super_Position _98]

This year is a different animal

Probably from now on it's a different animal with the transfer portal

 

[Headsterx]

#11 and #12 will be dangerous this year.

 

[carolinakid]

they saying Duke here will be a 4 seed

 

[Tanko]

they saying Duke here will be a 4 seed

Anyone who has them on their side of the bracket will be saying... "Damn...".
They are on fire.

 

[carolinakid]

i told you, man they playing well and i cant stand the va players and their coach so this was sweet last night

 

[jjgold]

If you take every dog basically you rarely lose last 25 years