Gotta take Sparty Saturday....

[MinnesotaFats]

Getting 2.5 or 3, at home.

Here's why:

Minny hasn't played any legit opponents yet

MSU played Washington, Phenix & his coach both came over from IU prior- they had some experience w MSU

MSU stops the run. They are weak vs the pass, but Minny doesn't have a "stretch the field" pass game w Morgan

Statistics suggest MSU played a rather decent game offensively last week, despite the score.

If you can get +125 ML hammer that as well.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Thanks for heads up Minny

 

[carolinakid]

duke is a live dog too early imo

 

[edawg]

You gonna take a Mel Tucker coached team over a P.J. Fleck coached team?

 

[Enikk]

Opposite side here brother. I am riding this Gopher team until they lose

 

[MinnesotaFats]

You gonna take a Mel Tucker coached team over a P.J. Fleck coached team?

I am betting that the untested to date Gophers cannot stretch the field.

Don't forget, Wr1, Bell, out for the year w busted knee.

I'm not convinced Minny can sustain 10-12 play drives without their leading receiver & target.

 

[Pimike]

Let’s cash this weekend men!


Thanks Minny and to all who share their picks!

 

[Pimike]

Ps women also. Hehe

 

[Tanko]

Getting 2.5 or 3, at home.

Here's why:

Minny hasn't played any legit opponents yet

MSU played Washington, Phenix & his coach both came over from IU prior- they had some experience w MSU

MSU stops the run. They are weak vs the pass, but Minny doesn't have a "stretch the field" pass game w Morgan

Statistics suggest MSU played a rather decent game offensively last week, despite the score.

If you can get +125 ML hammer that as well.

100% agree.
I think MSU is a good play and I am a HUGE Minnesota fan this year.

Minn has played:

• NM State - one of the worst teams in the country 130th on SP+ ratings
• Colorado - 112th on SP+ ratings.

I don't think we can really see if Min is that good yet. These opponents have allowed their stat line to be exaggerated and push this line too far in favor of MSU. For example: Min Pass D is #1, Rushing D is #19. Their Offensive rushing is #2. The public sees those stats and jumps on it, a mistake IMO.

MSU only true test was Wash last week and they did get their a$$ kicked on the road. I think we see a better team today.

 

[Tanko]

duke is a live dog too early imo

I'm on Duke. I commented on it in Wager's thread.

I also like Duke +7.5 over Kansas today. IMO these teams seem evenly matched.
Duke played a similar team in strength (Northwestern) and won in the road by 8.

The key matchup is Duke rushing defense and KU rushing offense.
Duke Def rushing is 8th (allow 71 ypg) in the country. KU Off rushing is 10th (242 ypg) in country. Who will win the the rushing game?

Where is advantage Duke?
KU 2ndary is bad (116th in country vs pass allowing 314 ypg) and I think Duke will take advantage of it.

Both teams have covered every game this year 3-0 ATS.

This will be a one score game so take the +7.5 points.

 

[edawg]

100% agree.
I think MSU is a good play and I am a HUGE Minnesota fan this year.

Minn has played:

• NM State - one of the worst teams in the country 130th on SP+ ratings
• Colorado - 112th on SP+ ratings.

I don't think we can really see if Min is that good yet. These opponents have allowed their stat line to be exaggerated and push this line too far in favor of MSU. For example: Min Pass D is #1, Rushing D is #19. Their Offensive rushing is #2. The public sees those stats and jumps on it, a mistake IMO.

MSU only true test was Wash last week and they did get their a$$ kicked on the road. I think we see a better team today.

To me this is a game you don't touch and having two smart sum of a bitches ( Fatty on one side Enikk on the other) is just another reason. If you make me bet it would take the Golden Gophers.

 

[MinnesotaFats]

To me this is a game you don't touch and having two smart sum of a bitches ( Fatty on one side Enikk on the other) is just another reason. If you make me bet it would take the Golden Gophers.

Depends on your betting philosophy

I'm ALWAYS looking for games where:

1- home team lays a short #
2- home dog vs equal or lessor program
3- home team off a loss
4- home team +120ML or greater in conf.
5- home team vs any team that cannot score quick or stretch field.

I'm not saying MSU is a better team, or that I've got a model suggesting an outcome, but my betting criteria radar is lighting up like the 4th of July!

This fits my criteria

 

[stormtrooper8]

Damn

My Buckeyes might only beat Minnesota by like 24 in the Big Ten Championship
Game this year

Impressive

 

[MinnesotaFats]

Mo is such a load of shit lol

MSU gave this guy everything and they're stuck w him.

Was last year a fluke for MSU or what! They look fukking inept

 

[MinnesotaFats]

Making Tanner Morgan look like Joe Montana out there w 6 yard passes

 

[stormtrooper8]

Mo is such a load of shit lol

MSU gave this guy everything and they're stuck w him.

Was last year a fluke for MSU or what! They look fukking inept

Yeah they made the mistake of offering it to him right before the Ohio State spanking

 

[MinnesotaFats]

Damn

My Buckeyes might only beat Minnesota by like 24 in the Big Ten Championship
Game this year

Impressive

They might win the west given the schedule

 

[stormtrooper8]

They might win the west given the schedule

Yup all the meat is in the East

 

[edawg]

Damn

My Buckeyes might only beat Minnesota by like 24 in the Big Ten Championship
Game this year

Impressive

Remember that Fleck was a GA under Tressel one of CFB most underrated coaches. Buckeyes will also be coming off of Michigan game. Might not be the cakewalk that most think.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Remember that Fleck was a GA under Tressel one of CFB most underrated coaches. Buckeyes will also be coming off of Michigan game. Might not be the cakewalk that most think.

Oh no it won’t be. We have a history of kind of sleepwalking through that game except for the year we won the playoff