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Which Winning Streak Likely Continues Today? Braves (9) Or Phillies (8)

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
54,688
I think Philly is more likely to hit 9 than the Braves are to hit 10 wins in a row. They both should win today but Philly, even though they go up against Bumgarner (ARI), is more likely to make it.

Charlie Morton (ATL) has been less than stellar lately. 5.61 ERA over last 30 days.
Thompson (PIT) has been improving over the same period (4.60 ERA for season is down to 2.55 ERA over last 30 days).

If anything, it will have to be the Atlanta bats that make the difference today. They are hitting well 0.278 avg over the last 7 days.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
54,724
Going back to the start of the 2018 season gives us a sizable database to work with, and thus the findings should be of value.

Overall records of streaking teams

Lost 4: 399-467, +14.4 units, ROI: 1.7%

Lost 5: 212-250, +16.4 units, ROI: 3.5%

Lost 6: 122-126, +34.45 units, ROI: 13.9%

Lost 7: 66-59, +31.3 units, ROI: 25.0%

Lost 8: 35-24, +23.6 units, ROI: 40.0%

Lost 9: 16-8, +17.2 units, ROI: 71.7%

Lost 10: 6-2, +8 units, ROI: 100.0%

Won 4: 479-419, -48.65 units, ROI: -5.4%

Won 5: 250-226, -39.85 units, ROI: -8.4%

Won 6: 120-129, -48.95 units, ROI: -19.7%

Won 7: 64-56, -7.15 units, ROI: -6.0%

Won 8: 30-34, -13.25 units, ROI: -20.7%

Won 9: 14-16, -4.7 units, ROI: -15.7%

Won 10: 6-8, -5.05 units, ROI: -36.1%
 
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