JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Kinda like the rule about not climbing to the top of the cage after a win.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2025891700330119407

 

[KVB]

Picked up Nikola Bartunkova @ .47 cents.

Again, WTA Austin.

These low commission trades are something else, I tell you what.

This will expire for 1.00 @ 112.7% profit.

Solid day so far at the trading desk. I must give the lab work credit the @flyingillini @Brock Landers and the what's app crew.

See what can happen when good labwork meets good trading (my trading today so far could have been better so I'll just call it good, honestly)?

 

[KVB]

Common KVB, we need RULES.

View attachment 86523

Dude, it's chaos over here.

I feel good though, those Kansas numbers fell good, tennis was lucky. Let's keep the chaos rolling.

 

[KVB]

Not going to start a thread but will publicly say to the moderators good job today keeping up with my power posting.

I just kept coming, lol.

 

[KVB]

Kansas ML @ .43 cents
Kansas +1.5 @ .46 cents

Picked up Kansas +4.5 @ .55 cents

Wierd here. On the exchanges, as I lose some value that I had gained on the +1.5 @ .46 cents, I gain as much if not more onthe +4.5 @ .55 cents.

On a game like this, this late in the day, that's unusual. Let's see if it catches up one way or the other.

 

[KVB]

Kansas buyers keeping my EV afloat.

All positons up as they trade back and forth. Spreads as much as 8% average and moneyline holding at 4%

Beating the closer like that on the regular will get you fukked over at a sportsbook, even if you lose money.

 

[KVB]

Despite the push on Houston, Spreads on the exchanges still trading positive for me.

We may endure the expected rush, but it's has some force now.

 

[KVB]

Almost bought L'ville on the spread when they trailed by a few.

Might get another chance, might take it.

 

[jjgold]

Having chicken soup tonight

 

[KVB]

Kansas ML @ .43 cents

Pinny now dealing a no vig line of -/+134.5 that equates to a 42.6% probability.

 

[KVB]

Almost bought L'ville on the spread when they trailed by a few.

Picked up L'ville -2.5 @ .48 cents.

 

[KVB]

Picked up L'ville -2.5 @ .48 cents.

This is not a full position, I think this could come late, so there is a chance I average down here.

Or just get out, lol.

 

[KVB]

Picked up L'ville -2.5 @ .48 cents.

Averaged this down to L'ville -2.5 @ .405

No more buying this one, could be a dud.

 

[KVB]

Averaged this down to L'ville -2.5 @ .405

No more buying this one, could be a dud.

Closed this for .22 cents @ -45.7% loss.

 

[KVB]

Picked up Louisville ml @ .08 cents.

 

[KVB]

Picked up Louisville ml @ .08 cents.

Sold half the position for .19 cents @ 137.5% profit.

We got a better than freeroll here!!!!

 

[KVB]

Picked up Louisville ml @ .08 cents.

Sold half the position for .19 cents @ 137.5% profit.

Closed this position for .14 cents @ 75% profit.

 

[KVB]

Picked up Louisville ml @ .08 cents.

Sold half the position for .19 cents @ 137.5% profit.

Closed this position for .14 cents @ 75% profit.

So here's what happened here in units.

Let's keep it simple:

100 contracts @ .08 cents = -$8.00
50 sold for .19 cents = +$9.50, this Already locked in $1.50 profit made the more than freeroll.
50 sold @ .14 cents = +$7.00

That's $16.50 back with an $8.50 profit.

That trade was +106% profit overall.

 

[KVB]

Here's a summary so far of trading today and the results per $100 bet.

Some wierd formatting at the Total row, but the Total so far is +226.27 units, with 3 positions to go. I will not lose money trading today and if Kansas gets it on, it's going to be a big day...

Issue	Bought	Sold	% Profit	Per $100
Kansas ml	0.43		0
Kans +1.5	0.46		0
Kans+4.5	0.55		0
Parks	0.28	0.59	1.11	110.71
Bartun	0.47	1	1.13	112.77
Bondar	0.45	0.19	-0.58	-57.78
L'ville+2.5	0.405	0.22	-0.46	-45.68
l'ville ml	0.08	0.165	1.06	106.25
Total

[td]

226.27​

[/td]​

 

[KVB]

I could get out of everthing and be up over 3 units.

That's that eventual regular daily goal.

But I feel like being a little greedy here, once again because we haven't really scaled this up yet. I keep getting this feeling I can risk it because it's not sick ass crazy amounts, like it was during hte holidays, nfl playoffs, and will be during march madness.

This feeling of smaller amounts not mattering is a real problem for me. Just talked to my wife abut that from earlier.

And here I go again feeling it again.

Hopefully it doesn't cost me.