Michigan is good but I think they would be viewed like Oregon and Notre Dame if they were a playoff team. That is an underdog to Ohio State, Texas and/or Georgia if they faced them. You can't ignore an entire season's worth of data and metrics based off what your lying eyes told you in two games. That said if they played like they did today all year I think you'd have to consider them when deciding whether to bet them ATS because they did look good today.