Why it’s hard as hell to cap baseball

[BigJay]

Astros best pitcher on the mound tonight -225 fave

And this guy for Baltimore loses a perfect game in the 8th inning on a weak infield single back to the pitcher

 

[BigJay]

Guy allows the one hit.

8 innings of shutout ball lowers his ERA to 5.68

 

[Archie]

crazy

 

[phillyflyers]

That is bonkers.

 

[pipe]

Brutal. Just fuckin booty stew booty pump.

 

[JDS]

Buddy finally got his 1st career win as a starter. MLB is all about “mini runs” both bad & good from most teams, but sometimes a straight roulette table on certain nights.

 

[pipe]

Not bad if you know what's up

 

[JDS]

Buddy finally got his 1st career win as a starter. MLB is all about “mini runs” both bad & good from most teams, but sometimes a straight roulette table on certain nights.

Poster Sunshine has a skill set to where she is good at finding when the mini bad runs end.

 

[jamesy2422]

the problem with baseball is good teams still lose around 70 times and win around 92 times. add in juice and not covering -1.5 and it is tough as hell.

 

[pipe]

It's 162 games in a season you need a bankroll to sustain the whole season and make a profit. If you are a favorite player that pain will hurt. Hope this helps. Along the way you have to hit dogs to be profitable

 

[jjgold]

Sports betting just random on most occasions once you figure that out you will be fine

 

[pipe]

Sports betting just random on most occasions once you figure that out you will be fine

Not true @jjgold

 

[Tanko]

Houston loss busted up my parlay. I thought with Valdez on the mound vs Young, it was the best pick in the 3 teamer. Wow.... You never know.

 

[pipe]

Houston loss busted up my parlay. I thought with Valdez on the mound vs Young, it was the best pick in the 3 teamer. Wow.... You never know.

Crazy man. Just crazy

 

[Pimike]

Sports betting just random on most occasions once you figure that out you will be fine

This

 

[jjgold]

It’s all about numbers the only people that are slightly successful are number chasers

 

[Archie]

It’s all about numbers the only people that are slightly successful are number chasers

there are still some travel, sched, bullpen rest, starters velo charts, late season 15% innnngs increase rule, shadows, umps , angles and trends to factor in.

but yeah mostly just punch #s into models and filter out for Games with a slight +expected value on home dogs