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why is florida only -1 vs houston

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Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
6,148
I don't know that they are that much better than Houston. In fact I think Houston can and will win this game because of their defense. They held the number one offense in the country to one basket over the last 10 minutes of the game which is pretty impressive. Florida can win this game but it won't be easy and to be honest I'm leaning Houston here because Florida hasn't seen a defense this good.
 

Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
6,148
Florida's defense really isn't that good in comparison to Houston that's why the line is almost a flip. Imo this one is as close to a flip as a championship game can get because of Houston's defense. Florida can't stop people and Houston's offense will be able to score enough to win this game which is why I'm leaning Houston right now because I trust their defense to get stops more than I trust Florida's.
 
Last edited:

lekidecincinnati

lekidecincinnati

Joined
Oct 26, 2021
Messages
5,804
Florida's defense really isn't that good in comparison to Houston that's why the line is almost a flip. Imo this one is as close to a flip as a championship game can get because of Houston's defense. Florida can't stop people and Houston's offense will be able to score enough to win this game which is why I'm leaning Houston right now because I trust their defense to get stops more than I trust Florida's.
but houstons offense is suspect feels liike this could a blowout fla big
 

Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
6,148
but houstons offense is suspect feels liike this could a blowout fla big
Actually it's not Houston has a top 25 offense just like Florida has a top 25 defense. I took Houston ML because I don't think Florida's defense can get enough stops. Houston can score they hit 8 threes a game and I think they'll be able to score enough points to win this game because I don't see Florida getting past 75 which is what they'll need to win imo since Houston holds teams to 58 points a game. I'm just trusting the superior defense but obviously I could be wrong since Walter Clayton has been the player of the tournament so far. I just think Houston will slow him down because that's what they do.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
3,360
Florida just feels like they need to get into a rhythm with their shots or they fall apart to me.

They get flustered too easily when things don’t go well for them.

It’s why I like this team for live betting - they can easily jump out to a 20 point lead - or they can fall behind by 20 just as easily. Bet them early and sell as they get a double digit lead - buy back later in the game with your profit.
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
61,378
Many question marks

We know Houston’s defense will show up

But even if they hold Florida to 10-15 pts below their average, can Houston outscore them

I think Houston players have already been given a game plan by their coaches & #1 on the list is to focus on shutting down Walter Clayton jr no matter what and force everyone else to beat them

Leaning Houston here
 

Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
6,148
Many question marks

We know Houston’s defense will show up

But even if they hold Florida to 10-15 pts below their average, can Houston outscore them

I think Houston players have already been given a game plan by their coaches & #1 on the list is to focus on shutting down Walter Clayton jr no matter what and force everyone else to beat them

Leaning Houston here
I'm not worried about Houston's offense. Everybody says they're offense is suspect but that's flat out wrong. Houston's team total is 70 and I think they can eclipse that because I don't trust Florida's defense to get stops. They have let teams score on them in this tournament and that's why I believe Houston will get it done tonight.
 
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