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Why is everyone pounding the Louisville money line?

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
16,977
Not everyone JJ. Experts like Justin7, Ganch and KVB might not agree with your distorted statement, it stops and it stops now Slats.

Definitely a distorted statement. Line is right and no evidence early action pounding anyone. The moneyline has taken action on both sides and L'ville has traded less than 2-1 already this week and it currently trades at over 2-1.

The stacking percentages forecast has ND winning the game with 37 or 35 points to L'ville's 31 points. The non predictive public gauge shows ND winning 30-24, which is much closer to the posted Total than the stacking percentages forecast.

Hey Gold, quick question...

rick-chq.gif
 

flyingillini

flyingillini

Joined
Jul 25, 2022
Messages
23,228
Definitely a distorted statement. Line is right and no evidence early action pounding anyone. The moneyline has taken action on both sides and L'ville has traded less than 2-1 already this week and it currently trades at over 2-1.

The stacking percentages forecast has ND winning the game with 37 or 35 points to L'ville's 31 points. The non predictive public gauge shows ND winning 30-24, which is much closer to the posted Total than the stacking percentages forecast.

Hey Gold, quick question...

rick-chq.gif
I am tired of JJ's comments like this, he makes posters bet into a line that he would not bet in. He is trying to move the line in his favor so he can bet the other way. What JJ is doing at BMR is what the Game Stop people did to pump up the stock. I am tired of his behavior. I will not fall for it.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
54,687
I'd lean ND -6.5. Their D is pretty damn good. It plays well into stopping Louisville's passing game.
I can see them holding Louisville to 17-20 points and ND scoring ~28 or more.

I'd play the under 54 but ND could score more than 28 easily and go over. NThey are at a 250+ ypg passing clip and Louiville 2ndary has given up a lot of passing yards vs good QBs. In their last 4 games Louisville has given up 112, 265, 299, 313 passing yards and I consider Harman a good QB.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
54,697
No play for me no real edge on this number & this situation IMO.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
54,697
I’ll have 5 plays for coll foots this week & weekend higher volume for me & hoping to go 3-2. All games -108 or less sold a half point back to the bookmaker on a few for nearly an even money payout.
 
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