I personally would not go against the Bucs here at the price KC is commanding.
Yes - Chiefs at Arrowhead historically have been tough to beat - and if were a 5 point spread I’d probably go that way - but the 9 and corresponding money line - that’s just too damn much.
History says go with upsets - eventually the pendulum swings the other way.
"In the NFL, Mahomes is 3-0 against Mayfield. All three of those showdowns came when Mayfield played for the team that drafted him, the Cleveland Browns. "
So, this is the first time they will meet again with Mayfield playing for Tampa Bay.